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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. wncsnow
    That would be a shocker but you never know around these parts. The next 2 weeks are a welcome drying out if El Nino really kicks up the STJ. Average first frost used to be between October 1-15 r here until about 2000. Since then its closer to October 24.
  2. wncsnow
    I hope I'm wrong but if it doesn't frost some this weekend, it looks like Halloween or early November for frost for most of NC.
  3. wncsnow
    Pouring again..
  4. wncsnow
    Ended up with 6.62 storm total. Thankfully the Catawba never reached flood stage.
  5. wncsnow
    Just hit 5 inches here. Thankfully the rates have generally decreased and the heavier showers move through quickly. Think we will get another inch or so.
  6. wncsnow
    4.65. 1.78 in 2 hours. Bit of a lull but that next batch could be bad if it doesn't miss east
  7. wncsnow
    4.16 and rounds of downpours continue
  8. wncsnow
    Torrential rain now
  9. wncsnow
    Closing in on 3 inches
  10. wncsnow
    Rates are increasing quickly
  11. wncsnow
    1.63
  12. wncsnow
    That band will have to overperform later for us to get the big totals. I'm only at .54 so far.
  13. wncsnow
    I'm mostly worried about flash flooding not main stem river flooding
  14. wncsnow
    Lets hope the latest Hi Res models are overdone
  15. wncsnow
    Gotta take the over on this for most spots.
  16. wncsnow
    It's easy to get nervous after what happened 2 years ago
  17. wncsnow
    Still waiting on GSP to pull the trigger
  18. wncsnow
    Latest Euro. Flash flood threat ramps up tomorrow evening.
  19. wncsnow
    It's hard to believe we aren't even under a flood watch.
  20. wncsnow
    Sure looks like this will be our heaviest rain event since Helene along the escarpment. I just wonder if there will be any new landslides where the soil is still loose from last time.
  21. wncsnow
    Flash flooding could become a concern tomorrow night as those feeder bands train over the same areas. HRRR shows these and some other modeling as well
  22. wncsnow
    Models keep trending up with rain for us as the storm is slightly east of forecast track each cycle.
  23. wncsnow
    I think areas closer to the Blue Ridge will do well due to the flow from the SE/uplift but there could be a precip minima near the I-77 corridor or a little east of there.
  24. wncsnow
    I like 50-75 miles east of there similar to Google. The 12Z GFS and ICON moved east.
  25. wncsnow
    I think the worst is Sat. after the game but I expect there to be upslope showers by kickoff at App. I think the escarpment gets 4-6 easily from this maybe more. We should be able to handle that with the antecedent conditions being fairly dry. Anything more than 8 and its trouble.
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