wncsnow

What happened to him?

Its exciting if you like cold rain

Last nights Euro was the warmest run in a while and had some SE Ridge at times. More volatility eh?

I said slam dunk pattern not slam dunk storm. We usually need pattern recognition first. Its trending away from a SE Ridge for now but there are other complications like the MJO and the Pacific is still not playing nice. Yet.

The long range looks meh to me. Not a torch anymore but no slam dunk pattern that is primed for southern snow either.

Let's hope we get a better end result for foothills areas

Hopium is back!

I agree. I have rarely seen a decent/big snow with antecedent dry/very dry conditions.

At least drought conditions should improve

Interesting. I guess most of the marginal areas are struggling in the new normal

Let's bring him on and ask him

The SW has racked up the last 5 years. This year is off to a good start for them

Foothills areas haven't had a big snow in February since 2014.

I'm never cooked, only relaying information. My realistic views usually serve me well!

The dry part is more concerning than the warm part IMO

Everything is fine

Yeah it's 75-80 east of the Blue Ridge today even. SER is strong the next few weeks. Hopefully it decides to go on vacation until March

At least snowpack should build in the Midwest the next few weeks..

Yes Eastern sections had a nice winter

I have seen this song and dance many times the past 10 years. 1. Models/weeklies show great pattern weeks away 2. Models/weeklies start delaying or backing off of great pattern 3. Weeks go by and its still at or above average 4. Now its January and the change hasn't really happened. Fab Feb will save us

Realistically if you look at statistics and probability, we should break our drought of not having winter storm warning criteria this winter. We have had 1 WSW system (3 or 4 inches of snow or more) since January 2019 for most of our area and that was Jan 2022. The cold being delayed is common and we have all seen this song and dance many times in December. Sometimes it comes later in the month, sometimes in January and sometimes only marginally. We really need the SSW to work in our favor and displace the cold on this side of the northern hemisphere and we need blocking. The Pacific will rarely help us this winter IMO. We need a strong-NAO.

EPS agrees.

Quite a few but the last couple el ninos sucked even worse TBH

What about the past 20

The SE Ridge is kinda like SEC Football. You hate to see it coming, and you know its probably going to win in the end.