wncsnow

Dogwoods, maples, and lot of other are blooming here. It's amazing how the grass has went from brown to green and growing in days.

The new Euro model shows a really chilly late March. Lots of 20s in WNC.

Plants are really putting out now and will do so even more next week. Some things are going to get killed for sure. Hopefully peaches and apples aren't too far along in the upstate.

March is going to end up above average like almost every month does. There will be a couple brief cool spells with frost but it will be back in the 70s quickly. Next week will be mostly 60s and 70s after the brief cool shot Sunday and Monday. St Patrick's day could be 2 or 3 days and a bit cooler than this one but nothing too anomalous and certainly not a snowy look. Just your typical NW flow. We can talk about it all we want but there's really nothing remarkable about the next 2 or 3 weeks (or since January 2022) except some slight flooding risk. If the trough digs enough around St Patty's there could be some minor NW flow snow about 3K. The rest is Bradford pears, daffodils, and pollen season.

Basically all that means is 40s and 50s and lows in the 20s and 30s with a dry NW flow. Yay?

I will believe it when I see it.

Still have some light rain but we have picked up over an inch today.

This is the most wintry precip I've had all season lol

February is likely going to end up below average with rain compared to a very wet January. Water levels are at mid summer levels

Looks like the GFS backed way off any CAD related mixed precip. Definitely the winter theme. Probably a decent weekend in the 60s for most!

Got down to 24. Mostly seasonal weather ahead, not really a sustained torch.

Looks like we are about to transition into a soggy period. It's amazing how quickly it can switch to dry/wet. There have been a few fires burning again with it being dry for most of February.

One day you might listen to me

Spring is basically here. Who needs March 1??

The energy is trending north on the short range models and GFS was north at 12Z

My family in England has basically had no snow either. They do get snow pretty regularly there even though most people think it's rain all the time. When it does snow there it's very fleeting usually with the super fast flow.

You know who wasn't wrong? This guy.

This winter has gone by FML and FUBAR

I have had 22 and 23 the last 2 nights. At least it will help keep the early budding and blooming at bay a little.

I'm really worried about this fall. If hurricane season is half as bad as some are saying we could see brutal flooding Ala 2004.

Nice ring around the moon tonight.. feel like this was our last chance for a legit storm this season and it was squashed of all things.

Want to give @Stormchaserchuck1a shoutout. He was skeptical all winter of the bullish winter forecasts for the Mid Atlantic and SE and has been pretty much spot on no matter how much hate he has gotten.

DC about to get shafted tonight. Most short range is 1 to 2 max instead of 3 or 4+. Well see which is right.

The worst heartbreaker here(among many) was March 1, 2009 Upper Level Low. We got a dusting and literally 15 miles west and 20 miles east had 4 inches or more. It was too warm for the first part of the storm then the ULL went just too far south and we missed the deform band. That led to downsloping wind and flurries while Shelby-Hickory got hammered. Another reason this was painful was because the previous 2 winters were bad. Not as bad as these last 2 though.

March 93 was epic here but l was only 5. I do remember it, mostly the power being out for a week or more and the thundersnow (which I haven't seen since). The Christmas snow of 2010 has a special place in my heart even though it was only 8 inches here. It was the first and last time I have seen a legitimate snowstorm on Christmas Day and one of the few times I was home for the holidays back in those days. Of course it was so poorly modeled and was nothing 2 days out. Plus it was one of the last Christmases with my mom. It was a special day.