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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. Yes it isn't finished but.. the front end thump being advertised isn't looking as impressive on the NAM.
  2. Total QPF for NAM... very dry for triangle and no way it gets to 1 inch qpf there as modeled
  3. The nam is definitely on the drier side for the whole area, which seems odd considering it used to be the most amped up/heavy qpf.... It shows the front end thump being not much more than a nuisance
  4. You can see the effects o the strong confluence on the simulated radar
  5. 12Z Nam is already looking more suppressed out to 42..
  6. We need a more expansive precip shield on the north side of the storm. Out totals are dropped from 18 to 12 to under 8 now on the Euro..
  7. Ouch. Getting close to being a whiff here. We still get .75 to 1 inch qpf but its trending south. Nothing as close Lynchburg
  8. As expected the snow map wasnt quite as crazy with amounts due to slightly less QPF.
  9. West of Asheville there is definitely less. The heavisst band sets up more over the piedmont on that iteration of the model. I'm no newbie.

  10. It is less in the mountains of NC. Many more places with less than 1 inch total qpf at 96 compared to 18z. Maybe .25 to .50 less in places the western most part of the state on GFS
  11. Through 90 there is less total precip over WNC
  12. Never thought it could possibly trend too far.. south? Starting to look like less precip up into VA with more suppression but still a lot of time to go. About time for late NW adjustments
  13. At 84 WNC is getting pounded with heavy snow
  14. Yep it does, its warmer prior to the storm moving in though..And slow too
  15. Spruce Pine will do very well with the flow. Little Switzerland too
  16. Think I'm gonna extend the deadline until tomorrow. No one wants to play!
  17. You know when Don Sutherland posts its about to get real..
  18. VERY bullish for them. Especially for southern areas
  19. LEssprecip into my area looks colder and good for you CNC and WNC peeps
  20. Let's have some fun! We are now 3.5 to 4 days out or less from what appears to be a significant winter storm for much of NC/SC and VA. Lets see who comes closest to verifying on snowfall total amounts. There will be 15 cities total and the contest will open up at 6 p.m. tonight and close at midnight. This will help test the accuracy of 3-4 day forecasts from Euro/GFS, etc. Cities: Asheville Boone Charlotte Danville, VA Durham Hickory Jefferson Greensboro GSP Lynchburg, VA Mt. Mitchell State Park Raleigh Roanoke Statesville Wilkesboro
  21. We should do a snowfall amount contest for this one. Will be interesting.
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