wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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Finished total of UK
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It is suppressed not even getting much moisture into Southern VA and not near as much as other models into the triangle
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12Z FV3 hammers most of Virginia all the way up into DC and MD... Much like 6Z
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12z FV3 GFS is north
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Low is closer to the coast so transitions to rain for many by 18z Sunday except NW sections
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Western Piedmont sections look to be on thier way to 18 to 20 inches this run
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Heavy snow at 108 for much of Western NC into the I 40 corridor. Rain in CLT but close
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Snow from AVL to Winston at 108.. wedge looks a little healthier
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GFS confining snow to only mtns at 102
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Odd run.. track saves marginal temps and cold air wraps around
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Even warmer to me at 120
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12-16 from Marion to Burlington North of I 40 to Southern VA
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If only this was the Euro..
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Northern NC and Southern VA crushjob
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GFS is colder at surface showing nicer CAD
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Thats what I figured. Thanks though, I may have to pony up and get a subscription.
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Where do you get ensemble numbers?
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Still impressive for western sections. Keep in mind much of this would be sleet/slop
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Indeed. Sure seems like our area has been ground zero for events the past 3 months though including Michael remnants and flooding to ice and record breaking rain.
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I think SW VA is starting to look like the best area for heavy accumulations but its still 5+ days out,
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Doubt it, my wife graduates Saturday from her Masters program so I will be here in SoVa.
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I think one thing to keep in mind is the timing of this. It needs to speed up a little to better coincide with the cold air/HP. If it keeps trending slower it could be just rain for about everyone.
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The mountains would get raked with heavy wet snow if Euro is right. Nice orographic uplift from SE flow too
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Temps are terrible.. 850s dont support snow except for mostly mountains of NW NC and SW VA.
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God lol
