wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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Help me GFS kenobi. You're our only hope.
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That was from lunchtime run
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RGEM isn't that good here, misses us with the heaviest front end precip. Not many models are showing legit warning criteria except for higher elevations north of 40 and in VA
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Even though the NWS hasn't lowered amounts yet, local Mets are starting to. Jason Boyer has, and Foothills weather network are about to as well.
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The storm in early January that busted they had me in 4 to 6. I got .75. The last storm a week ago was saved with that warm front band but they still forecasted more than what fell. It sucks being under a winter storm warning and having bare ground the next afternoon.
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Miller A/B hybrid I think
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Hi Res snow- not compete yet for northern areas
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Hi Res Nam has me going to rain. The low in TN Is still wreaking havoc
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Hi Res NAM sucks unless you have elevation or in VA
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I'm a little confused at this run too. I have .7 qpf and only 2.5 snow and 850s and 925s are good here too.
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Whole lot of meh
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Warm nose shaping up at 30
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850s are colder but there's less precip for areas that are cold enough so far
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Less heavy precip in WNC at 27
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NAM is running a bit warmer than 18Z already
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It wasn't terrible but totals were generally overdone
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Expect the NAM to be super amped. SREFs are bad even for mountains
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New HRRR isn't bad really
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Ouch. Figure it will come in even more amped
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Given their track record the last couple systems gotta lean false.
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The HRRR is trending north though. Let's see what the 00z run says
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Scrolling back in time there have been many threads started with the word threat or threats in them so I'm not the lone ranger, just saying!
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Hey now lets wait and see what happens first. I thought changing my profile pic may change mojo but alas..
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I will take the blame lol
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GFS trending NW
