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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. wncsnow
    Its hard to bet against it right now after the last few storms, but the NBM is also promising and having the Canadian on board helps. I have learned that the GFS is often better at getting fine details closer to events but struggles with large scale at longer leads where previously the Euro and now AIFS and weather next seem to shine.
  2. wncsnow
    Weathernext seems to be locked in. Just small deviations the past few days.
  3. wncsnow
    Weathernext or bust for me. It was showing this threat before the Euro had a clue. New run coming in 30 minutes
  4. wncsnow
    8
  5. wncsnow
    Just need a few ticks west/more digging and its a big from Murphy to Manteo.
  6. wncsnow
    Wind chill even here is touching single digits.
  7. wncsnow
    Good old NavGem still being used
  8. wncsnow
    Can a met chime in on which models are used for the NBM? Are AI models in it? Weathernext?
  9. wncsnow
    AI GFS is still trending west. Leeside enhancement showing up too
  10. wncsnow
    I agree but the weather next trended that way. It has a strong feature that tracks right. We need both of those things.
  11. wncsnow
    I see some leeside enhancement showing up which makes me hopeful. It all depends on how far south the ULL digs.
  12. wncsnow
    Here are the CIPS analogs (March 1980 is number 1)
  13. wncsnow
    Very well it was north of every model and closest to verification
  14. wncsnow
  15. wncsnow
    Weathernext is a little east of last run but still solid for NC
  16. wncsnow
    This setup feels a little similar too just more coastal development.
  17. wncsnow
    Pretty similar at 500mb to this gem
  18. wncsnow
    The west trend didnt continue this run unfortunately for us western folks. Still super close to a bomb for the whole state
  19. wncsnow
    Thats not what the last run showed but its possible
  20. wncsnow
    Its possible but if it keeps trending west we all score
  21. wncsnow
    Canadian is a big hit
  22. wncsnow
    Its trending in the right direction 5 days out..
  23. wncsnow
    Some photos from the storm
  24. wncsnow
    I'm sure my luck will be similar. Since I work in Asheville, they will expect me there tomorrow. They got nothing basically.
  25. wncsnow
    Its going to be fun trying to shovel my driveway
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