wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs
wncsnow replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
Still 35 here -
It has it breaking down quicker tomorrow. Asheville switches over earlier to rain
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Euro coming in weaker with CAD
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Every winter storm the past 3 or 4 years has busted on tne dry side.
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True but these DPs are super low. It will take time to saturate the atmosphere to the point drizzle can fall
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New GFS has this by tomorrow morning. Very light
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Not even .25 here lol
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Must be a warm bubble directly on the leeside
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Its still 37 here. What is your temp?
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The sun is still poking through the clouds here
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Also the west to east movement of precipitation won't cut it here east of the Apps today. Downsloping and dry air will= virga until the flow changes more SWly tonight. I think we dont get much precip reaching the ground until closer to 8 pm.
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I disagree, I think we underperform with precip. Upstream has mostly underperformed. Lower snow totals in Oklahoma. Lighter amounts. Dry air is very deep with this arctic high. I think its an impactful system especially for the foothills, but I dont see the 1.0-1.5 QPF verifying.
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Not sure we get an inch of moisture maybe even .75. Lot of folks upstream have under performed. Oklahoma hasnt got half the snow predicted.
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A lot of the models have backed off extreme totals of ZR. NWS blend is about .35
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Short range all trending south with initial precip. Super close for north of 40 for snow for a few hours now
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Models are shifting south, especially the short range high res. Let's see what the Euro says. Every little shift could mean the difference between 2 or 3 inches of sleet or .75 ZR
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Doesn't seem like there's any escaping ice now. Anything less than .5 ZR will be a win for us. Ice storm of a lifetime incoming..
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Latest from GSP. I am hopeful we get less precip looking at short range guidance
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I am beginning to think we might escape the worst of it due to less moisture. Seems like almost every short range model has trended west with the precip and weaker overall.
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RRFS doesnt show much precip through late evening tomorrow
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Nam looks weird
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This winter has the craziest clown maps ever
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Its going to freeze any runoff quickly and roads will remain treacherous
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Yeah and we stay below freezing for 95% of it. A quick burst of rain after the damage is done is not going to wash it away in an instant. Lots of wish casting going on tonight
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I guess denial comes before acceptance
