wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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Lol
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Yep the drought is becoming a big issue with wildfires in WNC.
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12Z is not off to a good start
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It can be an infuriating hobby, especially if you love snow. 1 winter storm in the past 6 winters is tough to endure. At least the ski resorts are going to make up for a lot of lost revenue
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GFS continues to rain on the sustained cold parade. It is finding new and creative ways to destroy the block And now the Euro looks more like the bad GFS runs.
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Thats a top 10 snowy month of the past 50 years here.
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Finally feels like winter again. Grass was getting green and some flowers were trying to come up
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Yep we only got 2 inches of snow out of a great pattern here so they dont always produce but just stating that we have seen better looks before and we shouldn't act like this is the best look ever. One thing that could make this year better with less cold is the possibility of an active STJ. It was quite weak all of last winter.
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Hopefully the GFS is starting to get a clue now. The EPS looks pretty good especially towards the middle of the month.
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Yep it's a decent look but honestly last year looked better at this stage.
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Warms up before another cutter around the 11th was hoping that would stay south this run. Still time to watch it but lots to iron out.
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GEFS shows a terrible pattern in the long range with the -PNA returning pretty much cooking winter for weeks. EPS looks better but still not a slam dunk pattern either. Some slight changes have led for it to be warmer for most in the 7 to 14 day period. Let's hope the-NAO can trend stronger. Still not confident the Pacific is going to help us at all this winter.
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Ain't great but miles better than any american model
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I rarely give it a glance anymore. Its pitiful
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We might have to deal with a cutter to set up the pattern
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Things still look interesting going into next month. Lots of things to be ironed out. Could be anywhere from cold and dry (suppression) (latest Euro)to active and wet (GFS) to active and frozen. At least we have a chance going into prime climo!
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Carolina Hemlocks? My family moved from Europe to that area and have been there since the 1830s. Used to be some of the best brown trout fishing from the Hemlocks down to Halls Chapel Church. I have fished or floated every inch of that river that's accessible. My heart was and still is broken to see how it looks after Helene
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Close but no cigar
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Trough is too far east on today's Op Euro but its close to something around the 7th
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Get that STJ going and cold nearby and eventually we will get more than a cold rain
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Hope you do well. I haven't caught much there since Helene
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Need the NAO to trend a bit stronger negative to help switch up the Pacific. There's positive signs, especially after the first week of January. Getting that subtropical jet going will be huge.
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Just to temper things a little. I like middle month but maybe we can get a light event the first 10 days of January.
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And remember last winter when you told me you would be shoveling your driveway when the Gulf Coast got hammered? Everyone is wrong sometime.
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There are some positive changes but its far from a slam dunk. The EPS is still not quite cold enough for most for the 4th-7th. The Op GFS looks terrible. The GEFS isnt there yet either.
