wncsnow

As I perused through NCDC data, NC State data and Webber weather data, I noticed a lot. 1. We used to get a lot more small events per year. 2 to 4 inch snow/mix storms happened 2 to 4 times per year most winters. 2. Its now feast or famine. Really since 2010, its either been big snowstorm or nothing. Very few 2 to 4 inch type storms in the past 15 years. 3. There is no true set of conditions that will lead to snow for us. MJO, NAO, PNA, QBO, AO? Of course if all of these are optimal that helps but some of our best storms have occurred in the "bad" phases of each. In my amateur opinion, something isn't right with the atmosphere in relation to snow across most of our area. Is it because of the solar max? Is it because of the warmer oceans? Is it because of the crazy Active Pacific? Arctic Sea ice? Global warming? Too many cows farting in the Midwest? I'm not completely sure but I do know it takes absolute perfect conditions for it to snow here now.

Still a bit of ridge causing the storm to lift north late

Its 44/36 here. Cool drizzle incoming

One thing I have noticed is the Hi Res models have very little precip here period. .2 or less mostly

Exactly how I feel. 2 hr delay for cool rain tomorrow

Yes it's 50 now Iol

The SE Ridge is the main culprit here

Not even close for us

47 here. We cooked.

I still have heavy frost and it's only 32.6 with clouds taking over. May not get much above 40 today unless we get more filtered sun.

No blocking. Its all fast flow. Hudson Bay is ice free still this late for the first time ever which is also modifying the airmasses.

I don't expect even that much here. Even some snow falling would surprise me at this point.

I would say north of Danville. More like Lynchburg.

We are cooked for a couple weeks at least. If we see anything this month it will have to be from Dec 19-31

Well its 27 this morning and this time tomorrow it will be raining and 35

GFS backed off too for most of NC

Even the notoriously cold biased RDPS has gone to all rain here..

I will have whatever this model is smoking

It would be but we need it to trend colder asap

There's no legit high to the NE. Its all progressive bullshit. This December pattern is not going to produce. I dont care what the MJO shows. We need another pattern reset.

Yep. I have had enough 34° rain to last a lifetime

Soon to be- congrats DC

It went from 34 and mixed precip to 38 and rain here

HRRR definitely warmer and north with the precip

When riding the fence bet cold rain. If tonight's runs are even warmer yikes.