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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. Pattern repetition/atmospheric memory. Central VA to the MD eastern shore are some of the biggest winners in the USA this winter. Why think they won't jackpot again?
  2. It is different but it's also slightly warmer than 12Z so far
  3. I agree it's going to be warmer in NC most likely
  4. ICON weaker than 12Z late bloomer with snow for northern piedmont and eastern NC more in VA.
  5. 2 inches of snow in 4 winters so that's not far off the mark
  6. Wheres my picture of you shoveling from the system that hit the gulf coast?
  7. I wasn't talking about this storm in particular more so the period after it. I think eastern NC and tidewater VA have a good shot
  8. That foothills screw zone looks familiar
  9. I see a foothills downslope screw zone showing up on models already.
  10. We are racing against climo outside of the mountains. March snow is a thing of the past. It hasn't snowed more a couple inches in most foothills areas in March since March 1, 2009. Winters with no snow in March for foothills areas include- 2011, 2012, 2013, 2016, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024. Add in the fact that Nina has strengthened and we are likely looking at an above average March.
  11. Most of the models show more of a zonal pattern after next week. Could change but I don't see prolonged cold.
  12. It's going be be below average for 4 or 5 days then warm back up. February will still be above average for most of us.
  13. The EPS is slightly less than last nights run for WNC.
  14. UK definitely better than last run and better than the GFS. If only that 2nd wave could speed up or the first wave slow down. Tidewater VA looks like a good spot this system
  15. Still looks like another Virginia storm.
  16. Catawba got up some and it's scary without any banks that were destroyed from Helene. I'm afraid a 15 ft level will be more like a 20 ft level now.
  17. I really am ready for this winter to end. I see more cold rain in the future.
  18. The EPS was in our pocket for the rain storm we just had at about this time frame. The Op Euro and Op UK has too much Se Ridge once again. Virginia is once again in a good spor.
  19. We really need a more consolidated system which can wrap up and bring the cold air down with it. Some models have hinted at this. The Canadian shows wave 1 and a trailing wave too but it's a late bloomer and ends up being a mix for most and hammers Virginia again. Guess it's Virginia is for snowlovers now.
  20. GFS still focuses mostly on the first wave which is rain for most of NC
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