The cool air wedge will likely save the escarpment areas from much wind until the system goes to the NE. I swear McDowell County and the mountains in general are some of the safest places to live as far as natural disasters go.
People have forgotten it because it has become a joke. We haven't had a legit storm in February since 2015. Almost 10 years! December has had way more storms than February since 2009. There has been a huge Ridge in the SE most February's. I have seen some forecasters predict it again this year.
Yep that's the norm the past 5 years especially.. May have to root for a super clipper with the upcoming pattern. The trough orientation doesn't look ideal for a miller A, then the MJO goes into its warm phases later this month. This will probably be a pretty quick shot of cold air. Then we are already talking about a "relaxation of the pattern"
And who can forget the super clipper/lee trough that dumped almost a foot in the South Mountains? I remember going to bed thinking we might get a dusting to an inch and woke up to 6 or 7 inches of powder.
This might be the most interesting weather day of January and its not even a snowstorm. 6-8 inches of rain in 12 hours or less along the escarpment (especially Transylvania, Henderson, Polk)could cause big flash flooding issues.