wncsnow

Almost every system this winter has fallen apart on approach to our neck of the woods. Even this mornings light rain storm fell apart and sheared out.

Canadian is terrible for ENC.

Maybe we can get a bowling ball ULL in February or March.

GFS is ugly

Baton Rouge could get 10".

The RGEM is south. The Canadian will be too.

Dry air Brick. Check these dewpoints.

NAM is better than 18Z and similar to the Euro with precip amounts

Nam is a bit better than last run but still not enough for us

The SREF is drier so the NAM might be a miss.

Tonight's run will be interesting

Still expecting a dusting or token flurries at best.

Too much northern stream in the end

It sucks that places like Baton Rouge, Atlanta, parts of Alabama and now possibly coastal SC, NC, and GA will exceed our annual snow totals. I have been thinking about what I would grade this winter so far, the cold has been unexpected and it was nice to break the streak.. with that being said.. we didn't even verify winter storm warning criteria in that system and we are still in a serious snow drought. I would give it a B- if the season ended today. If it continues with no snow through the rest of winter, I would probably give it a C. Our standards have slipped more than a single 40 year old at Applebee's.

Precip amounts have been decreasing on all the models not just as drastically as the GFS. Even the NAM was light precip for many. Weak sheared out systems is the norm this year.

I detest super cold without snow. Give me days like today if no snow.

Light precip even near the coast

A dusting is a win at this point

NAM is much more in line with other guidance this run. Still a bit more north

I would be surprised if the nam is as amped this run

Almost every system has been weak and strung out. I would love to see a phased bomb. At least it would be interesting

UK is also suppressed.

Thing is drying up quickly.

GFS is going to be suppressed.