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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. It's way north of the 12Z. Trend is obvious.
  2. Well that's not in the forecast the next few weeks either. If I had the choice I would take 70s and sunny even in February over 30s and 40s and rain. Where I live gets multiple cold air wedges a season and sometimes it's foggy for days with mist. It can be 70 in Asheville and 50 in Marion in the spring and fall. 50s and sunny is nice but that's the norm and the norm is not so normal anymore.
  3. You want 35 and rain 3 times in the next 2 weeks? That's misery.
  4. A lot of the mid Atlantic have had more snow than the NE I think. They have had multiple events.
  5. If its correct with this storm I will call it the new king
  6. Not surprising. Betting warm is the safe bet .
  7. Exactly. The (cold) rainfall amounts are very heavy for this time of year due to the front stalling out and multiple disturbances coming up from the SW. WNC needs a couple inches of rain but not 5-7+
  8. Compare that to 00Z and its a pretty big step down.
  9. Euro is a textbook La Nina pattern through 16 days.
  10. The way its trending it will be a Lynchburg north storm. More likely to be a flood threat.
  11. Just an awful Euro run from day 6 onward unless you like cold rain. At least 3 different rain storms in 6-11 day period.
  12. And more cold rain a few days later on the Euro. At least it will help the drought.
  13. That ridge is going to be hard to beat. As models are now keeping the cold too far north
  14. Its not. Its cold rain outside of higher elevation ice along the Blue Ridge in NC. DC is the big winner (shocker)
  15. Euro looks a lot like the GFS. If the EPS trends north it might be over already for NC south.
  16. Front never really pushes through and gets hung up right over NC.
  17. Fun times ahead I think. We are overdue for a February snow.
  18. Going to be a sharp cutoff between the haves and have nots. We need the front to push further south.
  19. Foothills and mountains and north are still very much in the game. South of 85 probably not.
  20. Euro AI still shows a significant winter storm.
  21. For now. But we are teetering on the edge. We need it to trend south like many systems have this year.
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