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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. wncsnow
    I wish the Friday threat was looking better. I hope we don't go into February with a shutout here but it's looking more likely every day. It's now been 731 days since our last snowstorm. We are getting close to our biggest streak since I have lived here.
  2. wncsnow
    Hi Res NAM = not even close
  3. wncsnow
    So far, no. Some mixing and rain showing up on the high res models. That's why some totals are being cut in the SW mountains
  4. wncsnow
    They barely happen in the mountains
  5. wncsnow
    Models have backed off for most even the 6Z euro. Looks like a non event for Asheville east
  6. wncsnow
    Not looking great for downtown Asheville. Haywood and points west look fine for 2-4. Madison too closer to the border. Downtown maybe .5 to an inch if lucky. Probably a dusting in McDowell and most of the foothills. Of course it could change some tomorrow but time is running out
  7. wncsnow
    GFS is a bit north
  8. wncsnow
    Hi Res NAM didn't come south at all really
  9. wncsnow
    We may have seen the south shift stop on the globals and it will hopefully continue on high res short range models
  10. wncsnow
    18Z Mean is a little north and less precip than 12 Z
  11. wncsnow
    Subtle changes with the Euro. Slightly warmer, slightly less precip
  12. wncsnow
    That run also had lighter rates except for smokies. A lot of times these overrunning fingers of precip can overperform model qpf expectations. In 2021 we had a setup that played down a quick inch or 2 when they didn't expect it.
  13. wncsnow
    Most of us need it to trend another 50 miles south with the best forcing.
  14. wncsnow
    It's not as good as 12Z for most but still gives the majority of us some snow
  15. wncsnow
    Happy Hour hasn't been so happy so far. Hopefully the GFS will hold
  16. wncsnow
    It doesn't even give east TN much. It's up in Kentucky and mid TN
  17. wncsnow
    The NAM is not interested at all. In fact its more north than previous runs.
  18. wncsnow
    Post it my friend
  19. wncsnow
    RGEM trended north slightly
  20. wncsnow
    NAM and HRRR would be too far north
  21. wncsnow
  22. wncsnow
    Just needs another 50 to 75 miles south to really give WNC a good hit
  23. wncsnow
  24. wncsnow
    Euro giving us the finger too
  25. wncsnow
    Basically the firehose of snow has moved a little south and is making it over the Apps better with stronger forcing
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