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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. powderfreak
    We've been seeing steady light snow with some fresh accumulation in the past hour, but hoping we can get this final band to swing through. Really nice band starting to sag south towards BTV. Solid radar signature on that thing. Mid-level magic.
  2. powderfreak
    That's legit. Nice shot.
  3. powderfreak
    Eyeballing 2.5-3” on the cars here, will measure a little later, still snowing nicely. Just a nice steady light snow all day.
  4. powderfreak
    The funniest thing is the mid-level banding is even further north and we are on the southern end of it. Northern Champlain Valley towards Jay Peak looks to be in the sweet spot.
  5. powderfreak
    We'll see... sometimes its the less than perfect looking ones that produce thundersnows as they hit the mountains, but I don't think I've seen quite that crosshair between extreme lift and dendrite growth. Thought at some point I think that lift is just too strong and it's pouring graupel anyway. It might need to calm down a little to get the good dendrites flying.
  6. powderfreak
    lol at the 12z GFS for squalls tomorrow... this is BTV, probably hitting right as school gets out and the evening commute. Just incredible lift smack in the snow growth zone. Big time squalls.
  7. powderfreak
    Snow growth is excellent here as well. Probably around a half inch in diameter flakes.
  8. powderfreak
    Ripping out now. Gotta be close to moderate snow. Decent growth.
  9. powderfreak
    We’ll see what happens today....still think 2-3” may be possible, then there’s the arctic shortwave tomorrow. Hopefully squalls for all. 6z NAM gone wild up here in the mountains next two days.
  10. powderfreak
    Reggie getting there.
  11. powderfreak
    It's interesting the P-type progs have it as sleet/rain at 21 hours. Sleet by 18 hours. No idea what the algorithms are but they have very little snow. Looks warmest around 750-800mb? The low level temps on this are a joke, above freezing at the SFC but like -3C at 925mb.... it's sleet and 32F or less...not rain.
  12. powderfreak
    He beat me to it. I was thinking 3-5" of white material on the ground at the end in your area, including sleet. Dense and white.
  13. powderfreak
    Yeah right after I post that the 00z HRRR goes nuts with a bunch of 6-8" amounts in the SWFE favored locals of RT 2 to SVT/SNH.
  14. powderfreak
    I honestly would be shocked if anyone saw 8”. Possible I guess but it just doesn’t seem to have the oomph right now.
  15. powderfreak
    I thought you were lower earlier today? I don’t remember you thinking 4-8”?
  16. powderfreak
    Ahhh ok thanks...yeah I was just thinking your area could get in on it too. Almost like convergence along a stationary front before the approaching system turns it into a warm front lifting north.
  17. powderfreak
    Oh I definitely wouldn’t forecast it... but I do think these SWFE have them often. It could be in NCT instead but you often get that initial fronto band that’s running W-E and sort of stationary for a couple hours before the real isentropic lift moves in and then it goes classic SWFE with precip moving SW to NE.
  18. powderfreak
    Yeah definitely could be. There have been runs over the past couple days with a finger of fronto at a lower latitude before the mid levels start warming. Snow Goose has been talking about it too but more for his NYC area....that someone south could conceivably see a narrow axis of more snow than a latitude above them. Just discussing possibilities. Depends on when the real mid level push of the warm nose comes.
  19. powderfreak
    I am very confused. That is correct.
  20. powderfreak
    Widespread areas of darkness now.
  21. powderfreak
    I honestly have no idea what you are talking about or referencing. What short range over mid-range? Stop looking at the Euro and go with the HRRR type advice?
  22. powderfreak
    I’ve been noticing on the ICON it’s had a weenie band of snow on the south coast the past few runs, then a gap before getting to the main band. You wonder if S.CT runs off a quick 3-4” before the mid level warmth starts to accelerate north before hitting another wall near the Pike?
  23. powderfreak
    You mean the posters from CT, one from MA, one from NH and one from ME? Should I add one from VT to round out most of New England ?
  24. powderfreak
  25. powderfreak
    Fair point. It still may not snow much in the RT 2 corridor. We don’t know for sure.
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