nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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Some here need to step back from their computers for a bit. Or go dig up images of old model runs showing a snowstorm to give them the hit they so desire.
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I don't understand how some think OPs are locked in 4-5 days out. While people always point to January 2016 as being "locked in" and not shifting, forget that for many model runs, it appeared NJ/NYC was on the outside, looking in. When all was said and done, NYC ended up with more snow than DC. Obviously different setups and different reasons for the "north shift" but I'm not sure why people assume this is the final solution. Obviously, mountains of NC and SW VA are certainly favored for seeing the highest impacts but NVA/DC/Central MD are certainly not out of the game at this point.
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Gut punch by the Euro...definitely wasn’t expecting that given 0z last night and even the 6z EPS. Seems we’re on life support but lots of moving parts so could still see DC getting in on it.
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I didn't even know we had access to the 6z EPS until I saw PSU's post. A cluster of lows definitely NW of the mean (which is right off OBX) with a few up the Bay. I'd post but we can't do Euro maps unfortunately.
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I've got bigger fish to try...like willing a storm north...
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Call me crazy but I just have a hard time believing northern SC will see 2' of snow. I still think this shifts north.
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Through 90 that energy over NE is further SW which I don't like. But the SS S/W is sharper so I like that.
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like moths to a flame. how could I forget that one?
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I'll always remember Mattie for his love and knowledge of beer, gardening tips, and dry wit. #inmemoriam
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00z EPS wants to build and sustain a -AO it seems as we head further into December. If the run went out a day or two more, I’d imagine it’d show a +PNA based on the trends at the end.
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Snowfall map steadily increases as you move S/SW from DC. <1” Baltimore 3” DC 4” S FFX County 7” EZF
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0.4” crosses SE DC/Alexandria. 0.1” Baltimore. 1.0” EZF. 0.6” touches the SE tip of FFX county. Pretty much runs E to W from there.
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Not going to sweat temps at this point when we were smoking cirrus on the Euro for the last several runs.
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Ryan M.’s weathermodels.com site is so slow. Waiting on total QPF to come out. But that’s a pretty big jump by the Euro considering where its been the last few runs.
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Very light precip reaching DC at 126. That’s a big shift north.
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The Euro will save us.
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UKMET precip shield shifted north. Now gets precip north of RIC vs just north of the VA/NC border at 12z.
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My streaming must be delayed but I knew when I saw these RR
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I literally yelled “you dipsh$t” at the TV when he committed that.
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My gut says we see snow from this. And I’m not ruling out a warning-level storm though I think the chances of that are low right now but obviously on the table given the small shift at this range that we’d need. And is it me or does it feel like we’ve been tracking this forever? And its still 5 days away lol
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Increases to about 5.5” by 144. The yo yo continues. ETA: 6” by 150.
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Lazy as$ play by the Caps
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I’ve called out some of Wilson’s hits when they deserved it. The game vs the Devils last week...he shouldn’t have been dealt with a major but with that said, it was a stupid hit. He can be a little reckless since he likes to play right up to the line...and sometimes he crosses it. But lets call a spade a spade...that hit by Reaves deserves a review by the league. It was reckless and cheap.
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We had some good looks but couldn’t find the back of the net. Gotta capitalize at the start of the 3rd.
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If it were the Pens, Sullivan would spend intermission doing a press conference whining about the play and discussing the injury (which injuries are rarely disclosed in hockey) to be sure to get a favorable ruling.
