00z 3k NAM is about an hour slower on the changeover to sleet in DC from 18z. Extrapolating about 0.35" would fall as snow through 16z which is when we'd flip (0.27" through 15z and 0.53" through 18z)
Its wetter here too. It drops 0.25" by 15z in Arlington vs 0.15" (12z run). 0.6" by 00z vs 0.5" (12z run). Delays the changeover to sleet until 17z too. Rain by 21z.
39/11 at home. I can't wait for all the freaking out tonight when we're sitting at 33-35 before precip arrives. Every model forecasts the surface drop once precip arrives and we wet bulb.