nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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BWI: 10/26 IAD: 10/27 DCA: 11/9 RIC: 11/9 TB: 86
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I’m not even sure I could round up to an inch last winter.
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Not saying we'll have a blockbuster winter but I put no faith in these seasonal forecasts.
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Yeah, I think so. Clippers are fun sneaky events.
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It seems like we’re due for a fluke event this winter (this is 100% unscientific but probably more accurate than those lame seasonal models/weeklies).
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Oh, that #$#%ing storm.
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I thought this area did quite well in the January '96 blizzard? Or do I have the wrong storm?
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Winter automatically would get a B at least.
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The real way it’ll go down is we’ll get a -NAO in early November to give us the hope of a front loaded winter. Dec 1 flips to a +NAO and holds until March.
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I’ll go 5-15” at home and 60-80” in McHenry. Both below average.
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Raining and feels like Kauai outside.
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Multiple warnings in western MD (too bad I'm home in Arlington....) and WV.
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Famous last words
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Here's one of the cams in Chicago to watch as the line approaches: https://www.earthcam.com/usa/illinois/chicago/field/?cam=fieldmuseum
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For this area, I thought the storm tonight was a good one. Gusty winds, lots of T&L, torrential rain. Just had the western tail of a storm that passed through Alexandria too.
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Dark as night. Wind kicking up. Thunder.
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That cell over Manassas is expanding to the SE...might clip Arlington/Alexandria.
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Severe thunderstorm watch just issued. Get ready for a few drops of rain!
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That’s just terrible what’s going on down in MS. I hope everyone is safe. I’m sure an unpopular opinion here but I’d prefer we see 0 tornadoes.
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Had an impressive line of severe storms hit around 2a here. Lots of T&L, torrential rain, gusty winds, and hail.
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Glad y’all are getting snow!
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Can we start a thread for this? It'd be helpful to separate this threat from the LR discussion.
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The only thing I’m tracking is next weekend’s potential storm. I’ve seen enough patterns D10-D15 change on a dime on the ensembles, both for better and for worse to get myself invested in hoping for an amazing pattern. January looked dreadful a few days ago and now we are hopefully looking at a flip but I still don’t put much faith in D10+ looks. I mean I’m rooting for a KU pattern just as much as the next weenie but I’m keeping my expectations in check.
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Just another OP solution 150H+ out...shifts will happen so we’ll see what the GEFS says. Considering where people expected to be 4 days ago, I’m happy we’re tracking something other than 85 degrees. I’ll be in McHenry next weekend for this so rooting for high as impact as possible.
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As you (or PSU or CAPE ?) posted earlier, our big events in blocking tend to happen as the NAO flips to + so this seems to fit that.
