nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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Driving home from McHenry now. Flurries when I left the house. Steady light snow on 68 crossing into Allegany county.
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Yes, GGEM is the Canadian also known as CMC. RGEM is the high res GGEM and the HRDPRS is the higher res Canadian (sort of like GFS/12KNAM/3KNAM)
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Absolutely and I was thinking that besides Jan 2010 I don’t remember us maxing out on potential on the front side of a major pattern flip especially from pac puke. Snow Gods shining down on the Mid-Atlantic.
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Catch up mode means we’re about to get slammed.
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Yep, great run. Time to just sit back and enjoy it.
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Euro! 0.75”+ DC. 0.5” to Baltimore. 0.25” is just north of the M/D line based off the SV maps. 1” line just south of EZF.
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There is no point looking at ensembles now much less posting them.
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24/18 with first few flurries in McHenry.
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24/17 in McHenry. Returns overhead but virga so far. Dew has been rising so the column is moistening up.
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Yep. We’ll see after all is said and done but I’ve liked it’s performace in the last few days from a consistency standpoint.
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Where’s that snowkojima poster?
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FV3 has the 0.5” line up near Baltimore or so.
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You know by now that snow is a major IMBY sport. What looks good for one person might not for another.
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Waking up to the 12z NAM is quite the way to do it. I’m driving back to Arlington this afternoon...not chancing missing even half of what NAM shows.
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It’s semantics. SV has DC 10 day snowfall at 27” so I was going off that. Regardless, it’s a great OP run. Just one of many solutions that will be offered.
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Wow at the Euro again. About 2’ for DC. As I said earlier today the big ones are sniffed early. Maybe this is one of them.
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Yep, we’re locked into a nice event...it’s better in my backyard from 12z which I liked seeing. As Bob says it’s let the chips fall time. Happy to start posting obs soon.
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It’s better for my backyard hence my optimism with the run. Every man for themselves, heh.
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Nice run by the Euro. Slight improvement over 12z (not as good as 18z) for Nova/DC. 0.5” very close to DC to the SW. 0.25” just north of Balt ETA: we are locked into 3-5” for DC/NOVA. Let’s enjoy it
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And I have the Brooklyn bridge to sell you.
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Starting to get into the range (useful is another question) of HRRR (get ready for the roller coaster!). But it has onset in the mountains of WV around Snowshoe in the mid morning, Canaan/Garrett County late morning, and then the 81 corridor by early to mid afternoon.
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Stars are gone...clouds have arrived. Holding steady at 15.
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I know the uk verification scores are good, but it seems the QPF bounces around like a fish out of water without any consistency. Maybe its highlighted more since it doens’t have ensembles that we analyze too but it seems that each run is up/down with QPF.
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Ha, I thought the same thing earlier when it first came out on NCEP. Didn’t bother posting since I didn’t want to interrupt the panic. Adding up the panels on the UKMET looks like about 0.4 or so for DC but I’ll wait for the ‘prettier’ maps for final confirmation. I fully expect the Euro to hold steady honestly.
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I’m with you. Hopefully everyone can cash in on something as we look ahead to the (likely) busy period ahead.
