nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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Ravens fans getting their wish so far....Pats don’t look like a 10-1 team.
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You should read 33andrain’s storm threads....it makes the NYC threads here look like Paul Kocin-type analysis.
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3k NAM has snow showers rolling through tomorrow evening/night. I think favored areas along the M/D line stand a good chance at seeing some minor accumulation. I’d be happy with some snowTV here in Arlington.
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I just want a cold Christmas...bonus if some flakes are in the air. Generally speaking for December, I’ve been hoping for a non-shutout pattern and I don’t see anything that makes me think we’re due for a shutout. Certainly doesn’t mean it’ll snow, but we’re not looking at a hostile pattern by any means. After last years 0.0” December, I can’t ask for anything more at this point.
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WWA for Garrett County for 2-5” and WSW for Canaan for 5-8”. Canaan & Snowshoe in particular should do really well tomorrow. I could see isolated 12”+ reports near Snowshoe.
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Wow, what a gutsy call and throw on 4th on 2 for the TD for the Niners.
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While this is focused on “major snow events” in the Philly region, I found it a quick, easy read on the major factors to look for in our area (50/50, NAO, EPO, etc). DT helped put it together based on the credits. Some of the specifics for things that work well for them aren’t the case here but still a handy read. You’ll notice they use images from the KU textbook. https://www.abington.k12.pa.us/teachers/hurmms/Majorsnowstormchecklist_files/Stormchecklist.ppt
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UKMET a little better in that department.
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If the AO is forecasted to be so abnormally +, question for the pros...why do we have this map? Slightly +PNA driving that?
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IMO its only worth focusing on the next 10 days...beyond that, the models have been changing as you note. I’m just excited we open December with cold weather...hopefully can time a clipper that drops some frozen in the area.
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The first week of December’s pattern as currently advertised is great for the mountains in Garrett County & WV. Cold/dry NS dominant patterns is a boon for upslope conditions out there.
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That period bears watching for sure, especially in the mountains and favored NW areas. Pretty impressive system verbatim and would agree that the setup could favor a more southernly depiction with the low. I’m not even ‘worried’ about a possible +AO past D10 when we have a cold start to the month on tap...and lots of volatility on the LR stuff.
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Certainly will change on a D9 OP but it looks like it transfers to the coast and we actually get frozen out of it. A time window to watch for sure with the blocking and 50/50 low which saves us.
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Double closed contour too lol
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Thanks for the reminders...I’ll move my December LR post to banter.
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Nice job @yoda!
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Mid-Atlantic winter 2019-20 snowfall contest
nj2va replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
BWI: 23.1 DCA: 11.1 IAD: 20.1 RIC: 4.2 Tiebreaker (SBY): 4.9 -
BWI: 10/21 DCA: 11/1 IAD: 10/23 RIC: 11/3 Tie: 10.1”
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Who was that doofus the other day who posted “I expected damage to look much worse from Abasco” after the initial pictures and videos came out. I wonder what he thinks now.
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1000% yes. The foolish chasers who voluntarily put themselves in harms way should have to pay for their rescue.
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Clearly a tsunami warning is needed over turtle’s area.
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Good practice for our non-winter winter.
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You could probably be featured live for an interview on TWC at this point. “We’re going live to Goldsboro, MD where resident cane expert has been tracking from his bed for the past 24 hours. He’s also been studying canes for the past 24 hours so about 23 hours more than most of us here at TWC.”
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I wonder if Dorian would want to dance to the Wobble song.
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If you want a lesson on wishcasting go read the main thread.
