nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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I can't remember if it was you or PSU but whoever it was nailed the call that once we get the PAC to turn, we'd at least be in the game (aka shutout pattern is over). Once the blocking settles in, the KU potential increases tenfold.
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The MoCo-HoCo deathband was nice while it lasted. Well, it'll return this weekend with thunder and lightning, perhaps.
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Actually Bob got over 11".
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This. Not even worth trying to reason with people.
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Two different features I know, but the same can be said about the Pacific. 10 days ago, people here were ready to write off winter because it had shown its hand (PAC puke) and we shouldn't expect it to change on a dime. Welp, the pattern changed quite quickly in the Pacific and here we are. Weeklies have been honking a -NAO for the last several weeks to take hold in late January and now the ensembles are showing in the LR.
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This is based on nothing more than gut/weenie feeling but this year's pattern change seems different than how things normally go (LR rushes things, we step down for weeks) and I think the D15 looks continue to move forward in time. Weeklies have been so consistent with that look taking hold late Jan so there's that too.
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Seems that the weeklies/seasonal forecasts for end of January into February will be right based on what we're seeing show up now on the LR ensembles. WOOF.
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ICON says PSU will make up somewhat for getting fringed yesterday on Thursday night.
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I started a thread for Thursday night's potential event. I figured it'd be easier to discuss in a separate thread so the weekend threat could be here.
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Breaking out the Thursday night/Friday morning potential event from the LR thread as the weekend event will be the focus of the LR thread.
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Yep and I think a stronger Friday storm would translate into a better 50/50 low too.
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11/15: 1.9" 1/12-13: 9.8" Total: 11.7"
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Going with 9.8" total which fits with reports around me. I'm still in shock DCA recorded double digits. What an amazing storm!
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Don’t even look.
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Wow, pretty sweet run verbatim. And it’s less than 150 hours out.
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GFS looks even better than 0z
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Yeah, pretty epic ice storm set up out that way on the ICON.
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Still snowing!
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ICON on TT only shows rain or snow...no gradients for sleet or freezing rain.
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Just coming to post the same. Seems Friday is trending our way.
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Tropopause polar vortex
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Light snow starting again.
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I’d say its unlikely at this point we see all rain here. Probably snow/ice-sleet-mix/snow at this point. It looks to be a potent storm so whoever can stay all snow in the subforum will really cash in.
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LWX forecast of 8-12 for DC was spot on.
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Fully expecting a lot of mix along 95 but the TPV is the wildcard with how much frozen vs wet we see. Who’s starting the thread? Lol
