mob1
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Everything posted by mob1
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Big increase there from first pass, the windfield is fairly large now.
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Very unlikely at this point
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Don't see anything on Twitter but it's possible some areas are seeing localized flooding. Areas in NJ will probably have some river flooding soon, especially if those insane totals the HRRR depicts for tonight pan out.
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Very impressive. Models still have a ton of rain for far northern NJ tonight, I wouldn't be surprised if some of the higher totals end up coming from that area or the LHV.
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I was a few miles south of there and the rainfall was easily the most intense I've ever seen. Every staircase looked like a waterfall. Out here in SI I got somewhat less rain and am closing in on 5 inches.
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- hurricane gusts
- flooding rains
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Nothing today. Given the flat terrain and lack of rivers that flood, NYC generally only floods with very heavy rates that produce flash flooding. Hours of light to moderate rain won't do anything.
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- flooding rains
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While wind and surge will likely be confined to eastern LI, we could have a formidable flooding event for other parts of the area. Slow moving tropical systems are trouble, we just need to hone in to where the heaviest rains will set up.
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- hurricane gusts
- flooding rains
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I think Westfield MA got close to 20 inches of rain.
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While people like to hype the wind and surge aspect, for a decaying slow moving storm that's relatively small in size, flooding is by far the biggest potential issue.
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Icon with a hard hook left into NE and stalls a bit between RI and eastern LI.
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The second recon pass does seem to be a bit north of the first one, though tropical storms don't move in a straight line to it's not enough to determine a trend. First pass had the center at 29.34 n and second at 29.38 n.
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Cape scraper
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GFS is quite a bit east so far
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HWRF now takes Henri into Nantucket as well. It'll change a million times but it definitely looks a lot more interesting than yesterday.
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Confirmed tornado now over Waverly.
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Insane flash flooding here now, some of the heaviest rain I've ever witnessed (heavier than anything yesterday locally)
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* At 635 PM CDT/535 PM MDT/, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located 14 miles southeast of Sidney, moving northeast at 20 mph. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!
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I think they meant "a few supercells evolving into upscale growth"
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It's not so little with all that moisture moving due north
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