mob1
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Everything posted by mob1
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Golden Meadow. Looks rough
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Holding it's own
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Golden Meadow is about to take it on the chin, Mark Sudduth set up a camera there as well.
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Those towns are about to be rocked by a still healthy northern eyewall.
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And they likely missed the strongest winds as the inner core is passing just west of them.
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Inner eyewall is recovering a bit, even as the moat is still very pronounced.
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Unfortunately yes
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Big increase there from first pass, the windfield is fairly large now.
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Very unlikely at this point
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Don't see anything on Twitter but it's possible some areas are seeing localized flooding. Areas in NJ will probably have some river flooding soon, especially if those insane totals the HRRR depicts for tonight pan out.
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Very impressive. Models still have a ton of rain for far northern NJ tonight, I wouldn't be surprised if some of the higher totals end up coming from that area or the LHV.
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I was a few miles south of there and the rainfall was easily the most intense I've ever seen. Every staircase looked like a waterfall. Out here in SI I got somewhat less rain and am closing in on 5 inches.
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- hurricane gusts
- flooding rains
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Nothing today. Given the flat terrain and lack of rivers that flood, NYC generally only floods with very heavy rates that produce flash flooding. Hours of light to moderate rain won't do anything.
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- 2
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- hurricane gusts
- flooding rains
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While wind and surge will likely be confined to eastern LI, we could have a formidable flooding event for other parts of the area. Slow moving tropical systems are trouble, we just need to hone in to where the heaviest rains will set up.
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- 5
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- hurricane gusts
- flooding rains
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I think Westfield MA got close to 20 inches of rain.
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While people like to hype the wind and surge aspect, for a decaying slow moving storm that's relatively small in size, flooding is by far the biggest potential issue.
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Icon with a hard hook left into NE and stalls a bit between RI and eastern LI.
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The second recon pass does seem to be a bit north of the first one, though tropical storms don't move in a straight line to it's not enough to determine a trend. First pass had the center at 29.34 n and second at 29.38 n.
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Cape scraper
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GFS is quite a bit east so far
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HWRF now takes Henri into Nantucket as well. It'll change a million times but it definitely looks a lot more interesting than yesterday.
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Confirmed tornado now over Waverly.