12Z HRRR has quite the volatile environment over Mississippi this afternoon, though it has a bit of a tendency to overdo the extent of isolated convection. As is often the case in these setups, keep an eye out for areas a bit south of the highest risk areas, as they often produce discrete supercells even with somewhat less impressive dynamics, while areas within the main risk areas tend to grow upscale a bit quicker. Just for the heck of it, here's a cherry-picked sounding from AR this afternoon, SRH values are rather impressive.