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GoAPPS

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  1. It’s generally seen as a weenie take to attribute the behavior of an individual storm to climate change. The effects of climate change manifest in aggregate trends over years and decades. The connection with individual storms is weak.
  2. https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=505523217991608 Fascinating behavior from that MCS that came through this morning.
  3. That's quite a sounding for Asheville of all places.
  4. Tuesday and Wednesday are looking more interesting.
  5. Pretty big expansion of the slight risk area over yesterday.
  6. FYI, light snow has broken out in parts of the mountains, not depicted on any model. It could bode well for those downstream.
  7. The models keep showing a band of light snow blooming around 7 p.m. then moving east.
  8. The NAM's treatment of the surface low still looks very odd. Don't CAD setups tend to guide the surface low toward the margins of the CAD?
  9. Why is it that warm air can get in here and lower our snow totals but cold air never makes it over the mountains in time? Is it simply that the warm air has an easier time rising over the mountains and funneling in?
  10. I know we're talking about this weekend, but the models are also hinting at a winter storm next weekend.
  11. I won’t put much stock in these model runs until Thursday at the earliest.
  12. The cell just north of Pittsburgh looks like it has a TDS.
  13. What is that structure in the foothills, a mesolow? It keeps producing tornado warnings.
  14. Yeah, I headed out to the Bent Creek area for some mountain biking, but it started hailing just before I got there. I saw some miserable folks riding their bikes back to their cars while getting hailed on and said "screw that."
  15. A tornado outbreak -- including the threat of a few long-tracked, violent tornadoes -- is expected today into early this evening over the Southeast, especially parts of Mississippi, Alabama and Tennessee. Tornadoes, large to very large hail, and damaging winds to hurricane force also are possible over a broad area from the central Gulf Coast to the Ohio Valley and southern Appalachians. Not sure I've ever seen language that strong used to describe a situation in the Southeast.
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