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jaxjagman

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Everything posted by jaxjagman

  1. jaxjagman
    Couple members show a split
  2. jaxjagman
    The Mean looks much better today instead of aiming towards the Maritime long range,its more headed into the IO.Its going back into the WP(PHASE6) D5,then its pretty clustered going into the WH by D10,some odd ball are showing the GFS.As of day 20,break out the darts
  3. jaxjagman
    That's really a considerable spread as we head past the Mid month of Feb,sometimes tho as we all know the GFS can pull a rabbit out of its hat in the long range,not often but it does happen
  4. jaxjagman
    Not sure about the GFS,it seems to be hinting at bringing back a +EAMT and the MJO stays into the WP a bit longer.But there is some feedback problems it seems but its been showing this the last couple runs but dont have much of any support.Just about every model i look at shows the MJO going into the WH mid month
  5. jaxjagman
    Definite some colder signs,upcoming.Not sure about the NAO,GEFS looks slightly +ve
  6. jaxjagman
    Yeah and the WWB by the Mean takes it back into the WP for a brief time,starting to have my doubts it gets cold around the mid month,not real cold anyways
  7. jaxjagman
    Mondays and Thursday,no need to apologize
  8. jaxjagman
    Maybe because its still Sunday
  9. jaxjagman
    This is actually pretty nice the GEFS and EPS are on the same page,you can look at Carvers map above and the pattern should be something similar to his maps around mid Feb
  10. jaxjagman
    Quite a few more members today showing the MJO into the WH as we are into Feb.Mean doesnt seem to have a whole lot of support
  11. jaxjagman
    It still amazes me how the pattern looks so similar to 2021.I had to rub my eyes,check it over and over and over to make sure i had the right dates,even the MJO into the IO almost did the same thing into Jan around the same exact time frame
  12. jaxjagman
    Certainly as of today someone could get a winter storm towards the mid month of Feb in our parts if the teles work in our favor
  13. jaxjagman
    This would be similar to what the GFS is showing with a warm up in East Asia which should possibly be into the 2nd week of Feb, for us then the heights fall
  14. jaxjagman
    Then go ahead into mid March you can see what actually transpired in 2021,not saying this will happen again,just pointing stuff from 2021 vs 2024
  15. jaxjagman
    Here is the velocity comparing 2021 vs 2024,1st map is 2021
  16. jaxjagman
    Here is the MJO back into 2021 compared to this year,the stopping point is Feb 18th.We had a major winter storm Feb14-15 in Middle Tn.See and similarity?
  17. jaxjagman
    Meh,lets let it go,i shouldnt have said anything myself .
  18. jaxjagman
    I reckon,good luck to him 9-10 days out
  19. jaxjagman
    The whole patterm looks nothing more than a meridonal flow into Feb
  20. jaxjagman
    He cant be serious,its going OTS
  21. jaxjagman
    Actually the more i look at this map i'm gonna still say mid month still
  22. jaxjagman
    Seems like the models are trending slower today,what was looking like like height rises around the 9th and 10th look to be getting pushed back to more the 11th or 12th or around there,seems like any cool down will be around the 17th now give or take thats just my take right now
  23. jaxjagman
    Seems like the MJO keeps getting pushed back each day into the WP,There is still considerable spread
  24. jaxjagman
    It's bombogenesis once it hits the gulf stream.Surprised it didnt go OTS
  25. jaxjagman
    I still think what Carver has been saying is close ,the heights the EPS is showing fall into East China and Korea as we get into Feb is a cold sign for us here,sometimes the jet extension can stay in East Asia despite,still some concern where the MJO will be at and where it actually goes
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