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jaxjagman

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  1. jaxjagman
  2. jaxjagman
    Much as i gave up on the MJO this morning i'm much more of a skeptic once again where the MJO will be at.Seems more Euro ensembles today are more on the faster side like the velocity has been showing
  3. jaxjagman
    Should be out west not the east
  4. jaxjagman
    Most of the models in the long range models shows a ridge into East Asia,with height rises into East China/Korea,that should be a warm look towards Feb 8-9th around that time anyways for us,maybe some hints also that some sort of change is upcoming afterwards into Mongolia and China on that map.If the GFS is anywhere right we should see a cool down shortly after,this is a cold look in the lower latitude of East Asia,but we all know how the GFS can whiff at this range
  5. jaxjagman
    Guess ill give up on the MJO being more adavanced,it dont seem to have much support,the next 10 days the Euro ensembles are pretty much bunched up into the WP
  6. jaxjagman
    I busted my ass on the ice trying to get the trash to the curb.Trash hasnt ran in 2 weeks so i had to try but it didn't work,sprained my left knee and left wrist,no broke bones anyways
  7. jaxjagman
    It seems that way.There is some slight differences.When we saw the last jet extension(+EAMT)in Dec the GWO gained momentum we also saw the MJO strenghten into WH headed towards Africa,this time looks different and with question marks.The GWO is certainly,seemingly gaining momentum compared to in Dec but questions still loom where the MJO is going.Also around Christmas the SOI was more coupled with a NINO 25 Dec 2023 1009.91 1007.95 -9.13 -3.78 -6.83 24 Dec 2023 1007.62 1009.15 -27.25 -3.37 -6.80 23 Dec 2023 1006.15 1009.45 -36.43 -2.68 -6.55 The SOI in late Dec(top) was more coupled with Nino.Soi as of late(bottom) looks like we are in a NINA 21 Jan 2024 1010.18 1003.25 10.93 5.24 -1.69 20 Jan 2024 1010.92 1003.10 15.13 3.85 -1.89 19 Jan 2024 1011.60 1002.65 20.45 2.87 -2.30 18 Jan 2024 1011.14 1002.35 19.70 2.12 -2.79 The GWO is certainly on the rise but compared to this time Oh well its just a waiting game it seems.I posted the GWO for comparison to around Christmas time,its really similar right now
  8. jaxjagman
    Still curious about the MJO.GEFS show a +EAMT as the MJO goes into the Pac its enhances the Jet extension into the Pac,as it leaves the Jet retracts back towards Asia
  9. jaxjagman
    Guess he had enough of social media,well this just sucks https://twitter.com/burgwx
  10. jaxjagman
    Seriously is the MJO gonna be where the Euro seems to be at?Euro mean and CFS look quite similar with the MJO progression
  11. jaxjagman
    Its just my interpretation of where the MJO could/should be at as be head into Feb
  12. jaxjagman
  13. jaxjagman
    Pretty sure it stays at 32
  14. jaxjagman
    It should be misting here for a bit longer,it never has been shown to be a strong system,very little QPF,higher elevations can always get upslope
  15. jaxjagman
    Here is a good OBS site if anyone is looking for one,its pretty good to a sense https://weatherobs.com/
  16. jaxjagman
    It just started snowing in SE Mo,crazy system
  17. jaxjagman
    Depends where youre at
  18. jaxjagman
    Still think you can get some more snow.The inverted trough that helped with the warm nose,the cold front is stationary,we could get a few flakes here maybe but seems to me the higher elevations could get something,wont be much but it seems to me you could squeeze maybe a tenth or so before it done.That map is a hour old
  19. jaxjagman
    You still could get a bit more snow,there still is moisture to the west,its not totally dry
  20. jaxjagman
    you should stay snow now
  21. jaxjagman
    Warm nose was/is more extensive than shown,its all the way up into S/Ky they should be all snow but its rain
  22. jaxjagman
    Still jus rains ,here we was at 32 then when it seemed the qpfs rose the temps rose to 34,now at 32 again.By the looks we should change over to ip,sn for a brief time before it ends,dont think ill drive anywhere tonight
  23. jaxjagman
    Nothing but virga here
  24. jaxjagman
    wInds are east here,S already in West Tn,NW in east,just going by the NWS OBS
  25. jaxjagman
    We will see,but it sure looks like its gonna be more progressive,MJO
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