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Everything posted by michsnowfreak
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Not sure what caused it, but the west to east gradient was very obvious and very persistent all summer. This was the most pleasant summer here since 2014. Each month from May-Aug was cooler than avg and the hottest temp at Detroit, 90°, was the lowest annual max since 1915. I think maybe twice we had a heat index touch the mid 90s, and lots of comfortable fresh air days.
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Seeing as though New England started their winter thread in March, I think it's safe to start ours now lol. We know its a nino, but plenty of unknowns as usual.
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September 2023 General Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to hardypalmguy's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
September finished +1.3° at DTW, the first warmer than avg month since April. -
I actually prefer dry during the color show. As was the case all summer, we will miss the core of the heat. Probably max out in the low 80s Wednesday.
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September 2023 General Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to hardypalmguy's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Finishing September with only 1.80" rain here. Temps will finish just over a degree warmer than average, making this the first warmer than average month since April. -
September 2023 General Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to hardypalmguy's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
It's turned into a joke. It will be interesting to see if it continues with its long-range cold bias in the winter. That will tell us if it's just a bias of extremes or if it has switched to a warm bias. Ive never seen it show temperatures so far over 100° and even close to 110° for us like it did countless times this summer, sometimes as close as day 5 or 6. And we end with a max of 90° -
September 2023 General Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to hardypalmguy's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Arctic snowy owls have been spotted in michigan in recent summers and were even spotted in los angeles recently. -
See, now, to a stat guy like me that's an interesting and relevant stat for those areas. But when I posted that in 2023 Detroit had its lowest annual maximum temperature in 108 years, you said I was "making it out to be more than it was". So if lowest annual maximum temperature in over 100 years isnt noteworthy, I don't see how highest September min temp is
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Summer min temps have risen moreso than max. We have yet to ever see some of the torrid daytime heat we saw from the 1930s-50s in my lifetime. I wonder if the humidity was lower at the time. And yes, summer or fall temps (warm or cold) have no bearing on winter.
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It was the coolest August since 2004. Could have played a role. Fortunately the coming warm spell has shortened and muted from the GFS original nonsense.
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September 2023 General Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to hardypalmguy's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I'm not sure. Love the zoom on my phone. It's actually across the alley. I was in my office working, which looks out the backyard, and I loved the way the dark sky hit the leaves. Proof you don't always need sun for a good Fall shot. If I remember, it usually turns orange/red on top but yellow everywhere else. -
It's so hard to pin a percentage on it. Definitely not near peak but pretty much everywhere you look, you see some color, not like just the isolated few trees here and there. Maybe 20%? Last year was an early peak, and the year before was a late peak. A friend of mine who has a lot of trees, said his are 1.5 weeks ahead of normal. Pics from Sept 23-26
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Tired of the heat yet? DFW 113 days 90+ this year, max 110 DTW 2 days 90+ this year, max 90
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The color is well ahead of schedule so it will be interesting to see how much, if at all, the coming period of warmth will slow it.
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September 2023 General Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to hardypalmguy's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
If you dare to challenge the most outrageous claims (new climate is 70 in January in WI with flamingos) or don't attribute every single solitary weather event to climate change, you don't believe in cc lmao. Learn how the weather works sometime. -
September 2023 General Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to hardypalmguy's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Very gray autumn skies the last few days -
September 2023 General Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to hardypalmguy's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Five very smart birds to leave their native florida, skip a ton of states between FL & WI, and land in WI. It will probably be an extremely smooth transition for them to go from 0 sub-freezing nights a year to 130 sub-freezing nights a year. -
September 2023 General Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to hardypalmguy's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Looks more like Wisconsin's late May climo. -
September 2023 General Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to hardypalmguy's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Its a sign that they got caught in the winds of Hurricane Idalia. Make sure to let us know how they are doing when its 0F out. -
Make sure to give us a color report. Color is popping like crazy here, Ill bet its very colorful up there!
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No, my objection is that your sample size is 13 years lol. The mean average maximum temp at Flint for the past 13 years is almost as warm as it was for the 13-year period 1930-1942. But really Im done discussing this. I mean, using 1961-90 normals and a 13-year dataset starting with a very well-known stretch of torrid summers was one thing...but now that we are discounting 1930s-50s data for one excuse or another, I think ill pass on discussing this tenths of degrees data anymore. Our climate is heavily influenced by the Great Lakes and even as climate changes, always will be.
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September 2023 General Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to hardypalmguy's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The sun sets on summer. Welcome astronomical Autumn! -
September 2023 General Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to hardypalmguy's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
You're right. In southern Georgia. -
September 2023 General Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to hardypalmguy's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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September 2023 General Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to hardypalmguy's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Last years peak fall color was the earliest in years, and was a stark difference to the late peak in 2021. I am wondering what 2023 will hold? Color continues to pop more and more by the day, and a friend posted a pic of a tree of his that he said is "14 days earlier than last year", which was already an earlier peak. If we were going to be in a below average temperature pattern I would all but guarantee a very early peak, but with warmer than avg weather looming, Id say its a crapshoot at this point (altho a late peak seems unlikely).