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Everything posted by michsnowfreak
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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Over the past 20 years, Detroit has averaged 6.8" more annual snowfall and 5 more annual 1"+ snowcover days despite a DJF avg temp 1.3° warmer than Chicago. Obviously it isn't a huge difference, and it shouldn't be with the two places latitude and proximity. But the same thing goes for big dogs. It isnt like Chicago gets one every winter. Other than those few, the overall snowstorm climo is also quite similar. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I think he knows that and is poking you lol.. Detroit usually gets more snow than Chicago despite a few epic Chicago storms, and most here know that. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
michsnowfreak replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Been a good winter, why not! -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Was worried about a bust with the hrrr moving everything north, but snowing and blowing nicely. Approaching 2" new. Very wintry out -
2F with wind chills hovering at -15 to -20 at DTW this morning. Looks tundra-like outside with the frozen, drifted landscape and the weak looking sun.
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2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I must be missing something, because where in the hell have we been hearing comparisons to 2013-14/2014-15 every year? Considering those winters were literally the all-time most severe winters on record in places (2013-14 Detroit, 2014-15 Boston) of course people will reminisce. But I can't ever recall comparisons. What I mostly recall is talk of the new tropical climate in NYC since 2016. Nothing will probably ever hold a candle to 2013-14 here in SE MI. But make no mistake, 2025-26 has been a very solid winter here and we have some brutal arctic air coming. Blowing and drifting snow on a frequent basis, constant wind chills, and solid snowcover since Thanksgiving outside of one week each in December and January. I really dont care whats going on in the west or elsewhere, it has zero impact on how I view my winter. If you had a mild snowless winter but the west was buried in snow, would that make your winter better? -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Obviously nowhere near as deep snow as 2013-14. But with the bitter winds and drifting snow, absolutely has the feels of severe winter. -
2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Detroit is at 25.5" to date (avg to date 19.2"), total seasonal avg around 43"...in 2013-14 it was a record 94.9". Again definitely not as severe but the constant arctic winds and drifting snow is definitely a reminder! -
2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
We had seen talk of 2013-14 similarities in here. Obviously while nowhere near as severe, today reminded me of 2014 with the constant bitter winds blowing and drifting snow throughout the day, and knowing the rest of January looks frigid. -
Deep winter for sure. Today was like a smaller scale 2014 with the bitter winds and constant blowing and drifting snow. We've picked up several dustings the past few days but the drifting snow today was the most noticeable. DTW snowfall January 8.7", season to date 25.5". Here 8.8" January, 26.1" season to date.
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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Was it lake or synoptic? -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Models will likely continue to struggle with the details too. Expect some good and bad busts in the near future. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
2020-21 (48.8" to 44.9"). ORD has only beaten DTW 5 times the last 20 years. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
DTW is 23.9" & ORD 21.5" to date. Long way to the finish line. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
0.34" -
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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Still melting it lol -
2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
In 154 years of record, the max temp in Boston during January tied this years 52° 8 times. 31 times it was colder. In 114 of the 154 Januaries on record, Boston saw a higher max than 52°. Lmao nothing like 1932. -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Ironically. The biggest snowstorm on record in Toledo is 22.0" on March 1, 1900. And Detroit 24.5" April 6, 1886 -
2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I happily report the biggest bust in 15 years here. Yesterday's forecast was for a 50% chance of snow along the arctic front, with accumulation a dusting to less than an inch. We ended up with 6.2" of powder. The unforecast storm caused traffic gridlock, with 4-7" falling in the Detroit area. No models but the rgem even remotely sniffed it out as late as 12z yesterday when snow began at noon. To see such a unanimous model failure is startling in this day/age, so a word of caution with the many scenarios that undoubtedly lie ahead as the weather looks active and some more juice with the STJ -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Id call the two busts comparable. Feb 5, 2011 had a forecast of partly sunny and ended up with 4-6". Yesterday had a forecast of dusting to less than an inch and had 4-7 -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I honestly think this is the biggest bust I've ever seen. The forecast the night before yesterday called for a 30% chance of snow showers. Then yesterday morning it was a 50% chance. No accumulation mentioned in the grids byt the forecast discussion mentioned a dusting to less than an inch. Sounds like a general 5-7" in the Detroit area. Still lightly snowing. -
Winter 2025-26 Short Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Major bust in SE MI today. We had a 50% chance of snow, finally updated to a winter weather advisory late afternoon. Will probably end up with 3-5" in the metro area. Models did terrible with this. -
2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Couldnt ask for a more beautiful look (from warm-heavy CPC no less) in the dead of winter. Below avg temps and above avg precip in MI
