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Everything posted by michsnowfreak
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Winter 2020-21 Medium/Long Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I don't have the exact average, but this region definitely see snowflakes a lot more than many other regions. Unfortunately even with xmacis there's no way to compile data that includes trace amounts without counting them, so I decided to use last season and then the 2 extreme poster child seasons of 2013-14 & 2011-12. Chicago- 2019-20: 61 days with snow (DJF +5.0°) 2013-14: 74 days with snow (DJF -7.6°) 2011-12: 39 days with snow (DJF +6.4°) Detroit- 2019-20: 77 days with snow (DJF +4.6°) 2013-14: 92 days with snow (DJF -7.1°) 2011-12: 53 days with snow (DJF +5.0°) -
Winter 2020-21 Medium/Long Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
oh wow you were correct. When averaging DJF the 2 were the warmest 5 year winter periods, but both averaged normal snowfall. it does seem like extremes are increasing, as right before that warm stretch began we had the coldest Feb in 140 years in 2015 which was the year after our most severe winter in recorded history, and a slew of mostly severe winters dating to 2008. I just remembered this is the discussion thread not banter lol...so despite a zzzzz stretch im sticking with my guns. In the end winter will average warmer, wetter, and snowier than avg. -
Winter 2020-21 Medium/Long Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I am sure you are being facetious, thats simply not happening lol. Unless you mean out of the game for wall to wall cold/snow. When it snows on 60-70 days in a Winter that's already 7゚ warmer than average and we see flakes on Halloween and mothers day...I don't think I am quite worried about Winter going anywhere -
Winter 2020-21 Medium/Long Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I would have to look into that, I am not sure if the past 5 winters were the warmest 5 year set on record. Its possible as 3 of the 5 were much warmer than avg, the other 2 near avg. I do know that the 2010s winters were not the warmest winters on record (the 1990s, 1950s, 1930s were warmer) but they were the snowiest on record. I think the ice in 2018-19 was actually quite good, terrible last year. Obviously snow is just a part of the equation...but you cannot look at things a couple years at a time. When I look at the long term trends, I will take winter temperatures a degree warmer in return for several inches more snowfall. -
Winter 2020-21 Medium/Long Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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Winter 2020-21 Medium/Long Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Did a teacher ACTUALLY say that to a 3rd grade class!? If so, that's ridiculous to fill kids heads with that at a learning/vulnerable age. Although I remember reading a similar article back in the late 1990s. It's absolutely comical, not only because snowfall (along with precip) has actually increased at many places above 40N, but because a snow season literally spans half the year or more on average from first to last flake. I guess the teacher expected some Armageddon-like transformation in 8 years. The 2010s were the trifecta at Detroit...the wettest, snowiest, and warmest decade on record. -
Winter 2020-21 Medium/Long Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The summer equivalent of you would be complaining that at the heart of summer average highs are only in the mid 80s...so its just as easy to see a high of 75 in July as it is to see a high of 95...and that's just not acceptable!!!! And don't get me started on how almost every June features low temps in the 40s. You're right...JJA is always blazing hot wall to wall. Do you see how that sounds? And why do we have winter threads/discussions!? Why even visit a weather board then if all you like is winter and you don't want to discuss it! But as a fellow cold/snowcover lover, I'm very disappointed in your "whats the point we get 1 or 2 exciting snowstorms" attitude. I thought you didn't care about snowstorms anyway, just cold and snowcover. Barrow (or whatever its called now lol) sounds like your place. kiss any exciting snowstorm ever goodbye...but you'll have snowcover from sept to June lol. The lower Lakes has never been a region of what you're looking for. But considering we see snow off and on from October to May, lol at acting like Chicago gets no winter. Not sure of Chicago's average, but im sure Hoosier has them. But Detroit averages approximately 75 days a year with a trace of more of snowfall, 35 days of measurable snowfall, 50 days of 1"+ snowcover....and 12 days of 90F+. So out of 365 days, 75 see snowflakes and 12 see 90 degrees. We need to stop pretending we have summer!!! (reminder these are facts but this post is also tongue in cheek to show you how it sounds...Winter is my favorite season as you know). -
Winter 20-21 Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to griteater's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm at 6.2" so far, but after a white start to December the ground is mostly bare today. The Nov 30-Dec 1 snowfall was beautiful. We now enter a quiet period in the Great Lakes but I can't imagine it stays that way for long in a la nina -
I'm at 6.2" with 4 days of 1"+ snowcover. It has now all melted except for a few patches & piles, but one interesting thing to note is before the mild night last night, brilliant sun the previous 2 days did not melt the snowpack very fast. Yes it slowly melted, but it really was a Testament to the low Sun angle. One thing I always find interesting is that if it's a front or back loaded Winter, the public tends to always remember the end of it. If we went snowless through New Year's then got dumped on from mid January to mid March, people would remember it is a harsh Winter. If we were getting dumped on from Thanksgiving through New Year's and then the rest of the Winter was mild, they would remember it is a mild Winter. The upcoming quiet stretch is quite perplexing however with the overwhelming signs of a wet winter in the southern Lakes, I can tell you I will be SHOCKED if this zzzz is a winter long theme.
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Winter 2020-21 Medium/Long Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
something tells me in the 4 months until that time it will not be all zzzz -
just patches and piles of snow left as temps hung in the upper 30s all night. now onto a boring stretch that hopefully is one of few in what should be a stormy winter.
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...and the days will be getting colder
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
michsnowfreak replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
I was browsing various Dec discussion threads looking for possible forecast maps for later in Dec lol, and came across this. its a great point. NYC climate always seems like a feast or famine place when it comes to snow. and lean times suck, but when you look at it, there was a lot of snow in recent years not long ago. The 2010s were actually the warmest (just barely), wettest, and snowiest decade on record for Detroit. Snowfall has increased across much of the Midwest and Northeast this century, so I just don't get the fear that snow is going away that some people have. Its not lol. The northeast will always be prone to noreasters. -
Snow still trying to hang tough, full cover in any shaded areas. I am tired of seeing the sun. We've certainly had a handful of cloudy days but this is the time of year I look I look forward to that constant gray overcast. Yes, I mean that and yes I know I'm in the minority.
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Surprisingly no. some bare spots but for the most part a solid snowcover. id call it 2" on avg.
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November 30-December 2 *Potential* Winter Storm
michsnowfreak replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Wanted to add that my storm total liquid was 0.60" with the 4.3" snow. Early on much of the snow melted as fell, and was also mixed with rain, but by the end it was powdery so impossible to apply a ratio. -
Pretty scene after the sun rose with the moon still out this morning. With abundant sunshine expected so is melting.
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much of the UP has bare ground, so that's actually ok lol. Winter wonderland in Detroit yesterday but green in Sault Ste Marie.
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Winter 2020-21 Medium/Long Range Discussion
michsnowfreak replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Decembers in the 2010s were feast or famine at Detroit 2010- 9.3" 2011- 5.7" 2012- 10.6" 2013- 15.5" 2014- 0.1" 2015- 1.3" 2016- 16.8" 2017- 22.5" 2018- 0.5" 2019- 2.7" -
November 30-December 2 *Potential* Winter Storm
michsnowfreak replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Finished with 4.3" as we had a few snow showers this afternoon drop another light dusting. DTW with 3.9"; it appears the eastern half of the eastern most counties in southeast Michigan finished with 3-5", while the rest of southeast MI received 0.5-3". Not too far West of the metro area almost no snow at all fell. Will be interesting to see if DTX does a map. -
November 30-December 2 *Potential* Winter Storm
michsnowfreak replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Thanks, its beautiful out -
November 30-December 2 *Potential* Winter Storm
michsnowfreak replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
this morning it felt like mid winter. wind chills in the teens, snow blowing and drifting. It was just a bad track for the northwest suburbs. -
November 30-December 2 *Potential* Winter Storm
michsnowfreak replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Finished with 4.2", the jackpot of SE MI as expected per late model runs. DTW had 3.8". North and West just saw 1 or 2". -
November 30-December 2 *Potential* Winter Storm
michsnowfreak replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
its gorgeous here on the far east side. probably over 3.5 now. winter wonderland -
November 30-December 2 *Potential* Winter Storm
michsnowfreak replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
light wet snow all day today didnt stick until about an hour ago, should continue through tomorrow morning. not sure what to expect