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IUsedToHateCold

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Everything posted by IUsedToHateCold

  1. IUsedToHateCold
    I feel like the GFS had a poor handle on the pattern we're going into now at the end of Dec. I would favor the Euro at this point.
  2. IUsedToHateCold
    Snow on a model under 200 hours? On Christmas? Lock it up. Still waiting for my first white Christmas having lived here 10 years now.
  3. IUsedToHateCold
    I feel like this has to be the right direction for the Dec 23rd storm 12z versus 6z GFS
  4. IUsedToHateCold
    Winter 2010-2011 is my favorite analog for this one. It's a match in many different ways (sea ice, SST anomalies, IOD). So maybe another Jan 26, 2011 event to come in 2022?
  5. IUsedToHateCold
    I think late Dec/early January will be cold (below normal temps), the question is whether or not there will be any precip. Perhaps our best chances for a storm are when the -NAO lifts out?
  6. IUsedToHateCold
    This Saturday also looks quite toasty
  7. IUsedToHateCold
    GFS sticks a fork in it. Suppression: that trend is never your friend. It all seemed to start going downhill when this thread was created - aptly denoting it as a "non-event"
  8. IUsedToHateCold
    That's a nice hit for the Euro. I'm starting to believe this might actually happen. Probably a mistake.
  9. IUsedToHateCold
    Winds starting to pick up here too
  10. IUsedToHateCold
    Haha I lived in Greenville, NC for several years (2003-2008). Climate isn't good there, but you know what? I want to say they may have had more snow than me in the past couple of years. It's been pretty freakin' awful. Last winter I watched sleetstorm after sleetstorm and the winter before that was only a couple small events.
  11. IUsedToHateCold
    GFS gives me cold rain and pity flakes, which is about what I expect out of this storm
  12. IUsedToHateCold
    And so begins the parade of 300+ hour GFS fantasy maps. Remember folks - the snow is always two weeks away!
  13. IUsedToHateCold
    In terms of sea ice this year is a lot like 2010. It's also like 2010 in terms of IOD, La Nina, relatively similar SST anomalies.
  14. IUsedToHateCold
    BWI: 14" DCA: 11.5" IAD: 17" RIC: 6" SBY: 4.5" My yard: 12.5"
  15. IUsedToHateCold
    Forecast says becoming sunny, but I have 45 and rain.
  16. IUsedToHateCold
    You currently have snow if you live in Kazakstan. One could hope that the cold in Russia will come over to the other side of the globe by winter.
  17. IUsedToHateCold
    Fall? What is that season anyways? Temp doesn't go below 60 in next week.
  18. IUsedToHateCold
    So I've read this thread every year for 7 or 8 years now. I've come to conclude that the upcoming winter will be:
  19. IUsedToHateCold
    Tonight might be my first sub-50 degree night this season. I haven't tracked it super closely, but I don't think we've gone below 50 yet here.
  20. IUsedToHateCold
    Supercells starting to form
  21. IUsedToHateCold
    Sun peaking out here in Bowie, starting to believe in the TOR threat.
  22. IUsedToHateCold
    I am a noob at this, but I have been following the sea ice extent for a couple of years now. I wonder if smoke from all the fires this year is helping to block some sunlight and are having a cooling effect, leading to less decline in sea ice extent. Not sure if there is anything scientific to that, but it would make sense?
  23. IUsedToHateCold
    Real nice storm just came through here. Quarter-size hail. Definitely hit severe threshold, which as we all know happens rarely https://streamable.com/jrzu6t
  24. IUsedToHateCold
    Any house with an older tree in my neighborhood has them. Unless it’s a pine tree, they don’t seem to like those
  25. IUsedToHateCold
    Just took a walk around the neighborhood. Total infestation. Trees covered, piles of them everywhere. It’s for real.
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