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IUsedToHateCold

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Everything posted by IUsedToHateCold

  1. IUsedToHateCold
    GFS+Euro+RGEM all show measurable snowfall for DCA, so the NAM really is on an island.
  2. IUsedToHateCold
    I’d love to see the 18z Euro agree with the GFS. If that happens I’d be less afraid of the NAM
  3. IUsedToHateCold
    I’ll take that 18z GFS and lock it up
  4. IUsedToHateCold
    That would ruin my night pretty quick. I don't have high expectations, but I'd at least like to see first flakes for the season. Is it a lot to ask? Probably.
  5. IUsedToHateCold
    The NAM is on an island for now. Let’s hope it stays that way.
  6. IUsedToHateCold
    This is the CAPE storm right? Perhaps they should start it. I believe.
  7. IUsedToHateCold
    That’s the one that gave EZF like 8 inches and DCA was cloudy, right? Ugh
  8. IUsedToHateCold
    The odds say you are correct. Yet, like a gambler on a 20+ bet losing streak, can we get some luck? At least those of us near 95 who saw almost nothing but sleet last year?
  9. IUsedToHateCold
    If I get more than 3 inches then I will.
  10. IUsedToHateCold
    If this is a hit then score a win for the GFS, which had a clue days ago.
  11. IUsedToHateCold
    I'll take it, although I historically do very poorly in this type of event in my location. It's usually 3-5 hours of watching it snow in Frederick/Gaithersburg waiting for a switch that moves as slowly as a slug crawling uphill across the Beltway. Finally it snows but the ground is too wet and I get a pile of slush, maybe an inch. I didn't look at the soundings, but as depicted on the 18z GFS the rain line is precariously close. Let's hope that moves to the east.
  12. IUsedToHateCold
    No, I want back-to-back snowstorms for eight weeks straight. A proper winter. Yes, I'm greedy.
  13. IUsedToHateCold
    I like the 18z GFS as opposed to the 12z already. Not sure if I should, but definitely colder after the monster storm pushes through.
  14. IUsedToHateCold
    Hour 288 on the GFS showing an eastern trough with some serious cold.
  15. IUsedToHateCold
    Rain here. Kind of surprising as I expected it all to stay south and east
  16. IUsedToHateCold
    I feel like the GFS had a poor handle on the pattern we're going into now at the end of Dec. I would favor the Euro at this point.
  17. IUsedToHateCold
    Snow on a model under 200 hours? On Christmas? Lock it up. Still waiting for my first white Christmas having lived here 10 years now.
  18. IUsedToHateCold
    I feel like this has to be the right direction for the Dec 23rd storm 12z versus 6z GFS
  19. IUsedToHateCold
    Winter 2010-2011 is my favorite analog for this one. It's a match in many different ways (sea ice, SST anomalies, IOD). So maybe another Jan 26, 2011 event to come in 2022?
  20. IUsedToHateCold
    I think late Dec/early January will be cold (below normal temps), the question is whether or not there will be any precip. Perhaps our best chances for a storm are when the -NAO lifts out?
  21. IUsedToHateCold
    This Saturday also looks quite toasty
  22. IUsedToHateCold
    GFS sticks a fork in it. Suppression: that trend is never your friend. It all seemed to start going downhill when this thread was created - aptly denoting it as a "non-event"
  23. IUsedToHateCold
    That's a nice hit for the Euro. I'm starting to believe this might actually happen. Probably a mistake.
  24. IUsedToHateCold
    Winds starting to pick up here too
  25. IUsedToHateCold
    Haha I lived in Greenville, NC for several years (2003-2008). Climate isn't good there, but you know what? I want to say they may have had more snow than me in the past couple of years. It's been pretty freakin' awful. Last winter I watched sleetstorm after sleetstorm and the winter before that was only a couple small events.
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