The pack is indeed being roasted. 40.6 degrees. But like @SnowenOutThere said, hopefully this means a bust in our favor tonight. But who are we kidding? We have the HRRR+GFS prizewinning combo in our corner! This can't end badly.
I will not hug the HRRR. I will not hug the HRRR. I will not hug the HRRR.
Honestly have zero expectations for this one. If I see a flake I'll take it as a win.
In all great Northeastern winter storms the eastern coasts flirt with the mix line. Looks like that is happening out near Morehead City. Just north of there (e.g. New Bern) the rates should be incredible right now.
21.7, low of 5.4 - smokin' sunshine while I watch the southerners get crushed or complain about the dry slot.
Still looks like a winter wonderland out there, reminds me of the winters growing up in Massachusetts. Good stuff.
If I wanted to chase this one I'd go to Greenville NC. Seems to be in a pretty good spot and I think it will get better. You're getting a bit of a NW trend as it draws closer and that's actually good for you this time around.
Congrats - this one is yours - been a long time since we've seen a storm like this down there.
I used to live in Charlotte back in 2010 and 8 inches of snow is going to shut them down hard. Maybe it will also kill the fire ants that have invaded since when I lived there.
Have fun and post pictures.
It's just getting pushed south by the confluence up top which is being driven by the system diving into the dakotas - that system needs to be less aggressive and stay up in Canada.
Anyone who's out now hasn't been at this for awhile. We got a day before the blinds start to close. Need to see those trends work in our favor on the 18z and 00z runs. If we're having this conversation at the same time tomorrow it's probably time to plan a trip to central NC or get out a pack of that smooth cold cirrus. I heard it doesn't have nicotine and isn't addictive.
Seems like a poor choice to berate the model which bestows hope upon you. It too can send the storm to the fish whom are hungry for it. Let us be kind to our model friends
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Keep the hope alive GFS.
Believe man, GFS is going to nuke us. 47" for DC with 50 MPH winds.
Yeah, that's probably not going to happen. But... if you're not going to believe why are you here watching every model run?