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IUsedToHateCold

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Everything posted by IUsedToHateCold

  1. IUsedToHateCold
    So what did we learn from this? NAM thermals are still king. GFS is a JV model that should just be tossed if it's on an island. Sleet isn't so bad if 4 inches of it falls. Nina still screws up the northern stream Uccenelli knows what he's talking about
  2. IUsedToHateCold
    Another 0.5" of sleet. Still all sleet coming down heavily. 5.5" of snow and 4.0" inch of sleet (which probably contains some snow). 9.5" total Noticed that the sleet I just shoveled was higher water content, so I'm pretty sure part of my previous sleet measurement was also snow. No ZR yet.
  3. IUsedToHateCold
    24.1/21.8 - Still heavy sleet. About to complete last round of shoveling. I am starting to wonder about this coastal.
  4. IUsedToHateCold
    This is easily 2+ inches of QPF in most locations in our area
  5. IUsedToHateCold
    Very heavy sleet. 5.5" snow + 3.5" sleet = 9 inches total, 7.5" depth. 21.7/19
  6. IUsedToHateCold
    5.5" of snow and 2.5" of whatever this sleet/graupel/snow mixture is = 8". It's coming down heavy and it's not pleasant to be in. I remember back in the day sometimes the Weather Channel would use "Unknown Precip" to designate a mix. Applies.
  7. IUsedToHateCold
    I don't know what to call this precipitation. It's definitely sleet, but its so powdery it's weird. Heavy to shovel like sand but blows around. I imagine this storm is going to be studied for a long time. And like @dailylurker I definitely see flakes mixing in when the wind blows.
  8. IUsedToHateCold
    Noting the same here. I've had my eyes out the window constantly for the past half hour and during heavier bursts it switches to mostly snow briefly before going back to sleet. There is a fair amount of snow when you put it all together, going to be interesting to measure later
  9. IUsedToHateCold
    6" compacted, 6.5" non-compacted. Heavy sleet with some snow mixed in (90 sleet to 10 snow)
  10. IUsedToHateCold
    Mostly sleet but some flakes still mixed in. Hope to get back to some snow when the heavier bands to the SW move through. But check out this insane temperature gradient in mississippi. That's like a 30 degree difference in 15 miles
  11. IUsedToHateCold
    Snow/sleet mix, 16/12.5. Getting snow with the heavier rates, hopefully that keeps up
  12. IUsedToHateCold
    5.2" as of 10 minutes ago, SN+ beautiful. Accumulating faster than I can shovel it. It does look like it's going to switch soon
  13. IUsedToHateCold
    4.7" SN 14.7/11.3. Beautiful morning out there.
  14. IUsedToHateCold
    That's great news. So I don't flip until 1 PM tomorrow? (I'm about 240 miles from the mix line), or do you think it will pick up as the primary drives north?
  15. IUsedToHateCold
    16.2/5.4. SN- (pixie dust flakes). Road has already caved. Perfection.
  16. IUsedToHateCold
    First flakes recorded at exactly midnight. Severna Park MD
  17. IUsedToHateCold
    17.8/-0.4. Close. Looks to start in the next 30-60 minutes.
  18. IUsedToHateCold
    18/-4, Expecting first flakes in three hours.
  19. IUsedToHateCold
    snow in Blacksburg means it's about 6 hours out from my neck of the woods
  20. IUsedToHateCold
    A strangely sunny day for a storm coming. 18.5/-7.1
  21. IUsedToHateCold
    A Euro cave to the GFS is a spectacular way to end the day. Also, down to 17.2/-8.9 here... as we all know this cold is real. Tomorrow is it - let's reel it in.
  22. IUsedToHateCold
    If a model is on an island it's probably wrong unless it's in it's wheelhouse doing something it's proven to excel at. NAM is good at thermals, so it is a wheelhouse, but we've seen the NAM be wrong outside of 24 hours. This is within 24 hours, so we are to assume it could be on to something, but I wouldn't necessarily conclude that verbatim.
  23. IUsedToHateCold
    I'd pay attention to both, but if it backs off at 6z that's probably a good sign.
  24. IUsedToHateCold
    The model guidance is pretty close at this point, with some variations. NAM is a major outlier with a much more amped/warm system. Needs to be watched tomorrow to see if it's sniffing something real. I think 10-12 for DC (snow and sleet) is still what I think will happen. Tomorrow we'll be watching the energy cross the country, so it will be fun and interesting to see what happens.
  25. IUsedToHateCold
    Some THUNDER possible? Yikes. Can't imagine thunderstorm-type freezing rain. That will be a total disaster.
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