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IUsedToHateCold

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Everything posted by IUsedToHateCold

  1. IUsedToHateCold
    1.5 inches measured. Nice winter day. SN- light flakes coming down.
  2. IUsedToHateCold
    Under a deeper band right now. Fatties coming down. Eyeballing close to an inch.
  3. IUsedToHateCold
    First flakes here. It’s happening.
  4. IUsedToHateCold
    I don’t have anything either and I’m a bit closer to DC.
  5. IUsedToHateCold
    I don’t know you and you don’t know me, but we thought the same thing.
  6. IUsedToHateCold
    GFS a tad south through 30
  7. IUsedToHateCold
    I'll be happy with 4 inches, which is a reasonable expectation given climo and the 6z suite. I think it's going to be hard to avoid the CCB being between Philly and NYC or a dryslot/changeover for part of the storm. But who knows. That's the fun of this hobby, right?
  8. IUsedToHateCold
    I wouldn’t count on it. Deformation bands tend to set up to our north west in most coastal storms. That said, it can happen. I’d lock up the 12z CMC in a heartbeat, but it’s probably wrong.
  9. IUsedToHateCold
    The stubborn Goofus continues to sit on an island by itself with that primary being so far north.
  10. IUsedToHateCold
    RGEM gets DC into the blue and NAM/HRRR are close misses. My forecast has chance of an isolated snow shower. Perhaps?
  11. IUsedToHateCold
    All snow now, coming down pretty good, already a light coat on the car.
  12. IUsedToHateCold
    I’ve got sleet and rain here in Bowie.
  13. IUsedToHateCold
    Thanks! 36 degrees and nothing falling yet here.
  14. IUsedToHateCold
    If it's raining in Winchester I assume the mid levels are too warm. I would also assume that since it's rain (not sleet) that they are pretty warm indeed. Can rates really overcome that? I really just don't want to get my hopes up for snow if this is just going to be freezing rain.
  15. IUsedToHateCold
    The Euro will always be king in my heart. 15 years of tracking weather and it has usually been more right than the other models. Fond memories of how it was the only one to predict the recurve of that hurricane several years ago and all the models caved to it at the end. It’s hard to accept a world where it caves to the GFS. So dear Euro-please show us a 20 inch area wide event at 12z
  16. IUsedToHateCold
    With the suppression trend this year I won’t be surprised if we are complaining about all the QPF being in NC in a few days.
  17. IUsedToHateCold
    I remember shoveling the 6+ inches of snow on the March 2018 storm. Was definitely surprised to be in the higher totals area.
  18. IUsedToHateCold
    Popeye's biscuits are in indeed incredible. Still waiting on something to pop on the models. Appreciate all the analysis here. It just feels like a roll of the dice. We have to win eventually. The roulette wheel doesn't always come up black.
  19. IUsedToHateCold
    Cold anomalies still sitting in Russia. I'm sure someone smarter than me can tell me the weather reason for this and if it might change. Probably the crappy pac I read about a lot here?
  20. IUsedToHateCold
    I dunno, I just feel like the cold air has been in Siberia for all of this winter. I look at the temperature anomaly maps every day and I see a big blue and white ball of cold anomalies in Kazakstan that doesn't want to budge. Hopefully that changes.
  21. IUsedToHateCold
    I’ll take a 100 mile jog NW and a flurry for the Saturday storm and be happy.
  22. IUsedToHateCold
    Ukie is on an island. That said, models didn't clue into the exact track and strength of the December storm until 2-3 days out, so I would think there is no reason to give up on it. On to 18z
  23. IUsedToHateCold
    Light snow flurry appeared out of nowhere
  24. IUsedToHateCold
    A few flurries out there in Bowie
  25. IUsedToHateCold
    In 9 years of living in the DC area I can't remember another time where I saw a completely vertical radar like this. Really weird.
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