IUsedToHateCold
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Everything posted by IUsedToHateCold
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19. Ground outside looks frozen solid.
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That was our life story last fall (we have a 2 year old). Best of luck! Took a walk tonight. Absolutely stunning - so many stars even for a suburban location. A perfectly crisp 24 degrees. Expect to hit the teens in my location (I've noted over the years I radiate well, perhaps because I am near the patuxent research refuge?)
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A 2-4 week period of warmth in early December makes sense. I think we rock after that. Could see a repeat of what we saw this month with very warm temps followed by a crash, cold, and this time- snow.
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I've grappled with this much, and I could easily see it being wrong in favor of more average totals, but I've ultimately decided to go with my gut. Which is: go big or go home. BWI: 40" DCA: 24" IAD: 48" RIC: 19" Tiebreaker SBY: 22" My yard: 32" Edit 11/27/22: upped totals
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Yeah I think he’s wrong. We could easily have a 2010-2011 type season but I think 2011-2012 is unlikely.
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I’ve increasingly come to like 95-96 as an analog, despite some significant differences. I think volatile is the right word and I point the finger at the volcano. I could easily see a winter much like this month with periods of extreme warm and cold, and with definite potential for some major snow.
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Holy….
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RN 66/66, looking forward to tracking some severe storms in a bit. Can’t wait for the rain to clear out so I can go out and enjoy a last bit of warmth before the cold sets in.
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Those are pretty strong words and not based in any kind of reality.
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Today.
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Local weatherbug already has 70. We are making a run at 80 today
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FFS, can’t they keep it off until Thanksgiving? Ugh.
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Torchvember has begun. My prediction is warmest ever for DCA.
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Yes it hurts. My prediction for DCA to freeze in December might come in accurate and I might have nailed it almost entirely if RIC and BWI had just been a couple of degrees colder last week.
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Was promised mostly cloudy conditions today. Didn’t see the sun at all. Forecast fail.
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First week of November
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If the GFS is to be believed 11/6 is the next best shot after what looks like a significant warm period.
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Colors are beautiful this year. Patchy in the Bowie/Crofton area. Still a week or two from peak.
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Early November snow is no better IMO.
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I’m wrong
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38 on my local weatherbug
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LWX stingy on the freeze warnings as usual. No way IAD doesn’t freeze. Probably BWI and RIC too.
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Freeze warnings out to down Alabama with this airmass. I’m biased, but this is going to overperform
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About the closest to wall-to-wall cold I’ve ever seen was growing up in Massachusetts in the late 80s/early 90s. I haven’t seen it in Maryland since I moved here in 2011.
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I think I’m more willing to attribute this anomalous October weather to the volcano. It would have been nice to see this in January, but I don’t think it’s happening. The -NAO/+PNA pattern is not going to stick around, and when it goes we torch. Chances of that happening in winter go up each day we don’t flip. I think if we could get that flip to happen in the next couple of weeks we could have the type of January you are talking about, but the window is closing fast.
