Terpeast
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Everything posted by Terpeast
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Without looking at the surface and just by these maps, I’d worry about it missing me to my north
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So… what did I miss?
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Appreciate your analysis as always. I hadn’t had a chance to dig deeper like you did (expecting company soon) and what you said does seem more promising that a SE miss could be less likely. Maybe the models will catch on soon, especially the ensembles. I’ll dig in some more tonight.
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Well I hope we both get double digits, but we’ll just have to see how the disconnect between the op and ensembles resolves itself in the next runs tonight and tomorrow
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I don’t expect us to get the jack this time. Probably to the SE of us.
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If we lowered our expectations a bit, maybe we won’t have a massive meltdown if the next runs don’t trend our way. All i’m saying is, be prepared.
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Relax guys. Shifts like these are to be expected this far out. If you’re looking for a 20”+ HECS, you’re setting yourself up for disappointment.
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Sleeting in ashburn
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I approve of euro 12z
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Halfway there
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111 slp closer to coast. Big step towards euro. Could be the start of a cave
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Track looks the same but precip more robust
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Looks less strung out than previous runs at 93
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Ok that looks promising
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No thread until at least sunday night or monday morning
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If we get a foot plus next week and no more after, I’m giving this winter an A Right now its already a C+/B-
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Ukie ensembles i believe. Hardly look at the ukie anyway
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Now we can go to bed happy. Good night y’all!
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As randy would say, FOLKS
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Incoming
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Still looks more similar to 12z than 18z
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Tpv lobe wants to split off at 108
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93, s/w same, NS vort rounder than sharper
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90, looking more like 12z than 18z
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NS s/w is souther at 84, seems closer to phase
