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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. Coming down good, small flakes but visibility is noticeably down. 0.5” so far in ashburn
  2. Coating. 27. How are we doing?
  3. 31/10 in ashburn, going to sleep now and try to wake up at 3 am
  4. 9-12” NAM 3k for everyone between 66 and 10 miles south of M/D line
  5. NAM 3k 7-11” area wide through 21z, and that’s s before the ULL pass
  6. Noticed no dry slot down to 66/50
  7. Interestingly the least dewpoint depression beneath 650 mb is where the “warm” nose would be (note the quotes because I don’t think it goes above 0c)
  8. Bullish, but we have a shot at that if the coastal gets us too
  9. I confirm this is the claw, and it’s coming for us all. Joking aside, what’s your bar for this event, folks? Mine is 8”. I reach that, I would be thrilled. Anything more than that is bonus.
  10. That plus 1-3” looks good. Would be 9-11” imby. Bring it
  11. High end potential 16-18”+ for DC metro. Low end is 4” area wide higher upside potential imho
  12. It phased. Insane signal by the ensembles!
  13. 33/7 should dip below freezing soon
  14. Finally got home after daughters playdate and doing some last minute shopping. I’m so STOKED for all of us in this subforum. This isn’t going to be a piecemeal storm for smaller portions of this forum like last year or Jan 2022. Everyone is going to get snow, most warning level or above. Majority of us will hit MECS (8”+) criteria, something we have been waiting for so so long. A few lucky ones will receive over a foot. Let’s reel this baby in!
  15. 34/7 Final call (quick thoughts): Bumping up numbers for DC-annapolis-delmarva. 6-12” locally 15” somewhere ESE of DC. That’s along a 30-40 mile swath centered on i-66 + US 50. No longer worried about mixing imby. Mix line stops somewhere between EZF and dumfries, then retreats south as coastal takes over. 4-8” between south side of DC beltway and EZF, 2-4” mix south Along i-70 should still see 5-10”, then drop off to 3-6” along M/D line. Sorry if sloppy, am on mobile
  16. Looks like it went south by two rows of counties. Something to keep in mind, yes
  17. Busy morning with daughter’s playdate. I’ll try to sneak my final call before the 18z runs. I think DC metro + all suburbs will like it.
  18. If it really dumps, DCA might lose the snow board again
  19. LWX bumped up the top 10% potential accums. If 12z holds, I’ll bump up my forecast and make a final call
  20. Euro great run! Now I suggest resting up tonight and tomorrow as much as you can, because we won’t be getting much sleep tomorrow night through Monday.
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