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Calderon

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Calderon

  1. Calderon
    Confirmed tornado headed into STL metro, right towards the NWS office in Weldon Spring. .
  2. Calderon
    It's a whole string of embedded supercells headed for STL, and they're racing at highway speeds. There is a lot of outdoor events tonight, such as at Forest Park and the Missouri Botanical Garden in the city, for the holidays.
  3. Calderon
    Yeah, the usually conservative tv mets here are becoming very concerned with the quick evolution of this group. Starting to see a lot of mergers and cells becoming dominant. .
  4. Calderon
    Very likely about to get a confirmed TOR near Marshfield, MO. That cell is on a perfect trajectory for STL metro. .
  5. Calderon
    The activity over western MO will tell the tale for the northern half of the risk. We'll see if things stay more linear or if we can get more robust updrafts to become more individual.
  6. Calderon
    Looks like at least half the house on pilings for the surge cam is gone.
  7. Calderon
    I'm surprised NHC didn't at least move the hurricane warning eastward to capture Hancock County, MS.
  8. Calderon
    Well, that was a nice, intense group of storms here in southern St. Louis. Max gusts 70-75mph and the roar that preceded it for a good 2 minutes was fantastic. It's been a bit since I've had that much wind and near constant sound of trees snapping.
  9. Calderon
    "Damaging tornado likely." Well no f**king s**t.
  10. Calderon
    Yeah, the CC drop on that supercell is very impressive.
  11. Calderon
    I'm watching the chances of SVR basically cratering for STL metro with this bullshit slowly moving in from central & western MO. Still no SVR or TOR warning for St. Louis County & City the whole spring.
  12. Calderon
    Well, that escalated quickly, and still no TOR watch yet.
  13. Calderon
    CC drop really increased on the most recent scan. Without question still down. .
  14. Calderon
    Looks like we’re getting circulation handoff as it’s approaching Rockford. .
  15. Calderon
    Well, that escalated very suddenly. .
  16. Calderon
    Likely tornado in Smyrna, TN at this time. 7 miles NW of my parents place. .
  17. Calderon
    TOR warning for Savannah, TN. .
  18. Calderon
    Cell near Ashland, MS has broad rotation. .
  19. Calderon
    SVR warned cell near Ashland, MS has broad rotation. .
  20. Calderon
    Cell approaching Perryville, TN is definitely getting together very quickly. .
  21. Calderon
    HUN straight up issued tornado emergencies versus tornado warnings for a period on 4/27. Also, literally every single thing was rotating that day. Tony Lyza posted something a few months back where multiple rain showers were rotating moderately before they even had achieved 40dBz returns. .
  22. Calderon
    I personally do not and think very few do as well. If, big if, they do, it'll be during Day 1 issuances but still unlikely for 06z given potential for warm sector contamination.
  23. Calderon
    Oof, that is certainly a very high ceiling scenario, to say the least.
  24. Calderon
    If they ever question terrain, give them video of the Empire, AL EF4 from 4/27/2011. Such a beast.
  25. Calderon
    Cullman, AL has entered the chat. .
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