Calderon
Professional Forecaster-
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Everything posted by Calderon
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Going to be interesting with interaction and a merger probable between the two TOR warned cells southwest of STL. I'm much more concerned for areas roughly from Edwardsville, to Valley Park, to Pacific, and points east of there, including downtown and the Metro East (Scott AFB).
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Here we go with the grouping southwest of STL getting SVR and TOR warnings.
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Idiots like that are going to learn the hard way one day with a sudden deviation in motion or something spearing the car being centrifuged out of the funnel.
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Naturally.
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Lots of destructive interference and RFD surges are keeping that huge hailer in check for tornadoes at the moment.
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It's not colocated with the velocity couplet.
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Memphis taking over for Little Rock NWS.
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Severe Weather 3-23-23 through 3-26-23
Calderon replied to cheese007's topic in Central/Western States
Unfortunately, Smithville's misfortunes look to be had again any moment. -
Severe Weather 3-23-23 through 3-26-23
Calderon replied to cheese007's topic in Central/Western States
Likely hit the paper mill and a boat factory on the northwest side by the river. -
Severe Weather 3-23-23 through 3-26-23
Calderon replied to cheese007's topic in Central/Western States
There's a very solid chance it fully cycled before it redeveloped quickly near/over Black Hawk given both couplet degradation and CC drop disappearing for at least 2 scans. The former you could see a handoff with the couplet almost seeming to occlude into the larger developing circulation. -
Kind of surprised the Cheyenne tornado was rated only EF2 given some of the contextual damage in the path.
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March 2nd Moderate Risk ArkLaTex
Calderon replied to Ed, snow and hurricane fan's topic in Central/Western States
Hondo, TX just gusted to 55kts with frontal passage, no convection. It is about to blast down here in SATX. -
March 2nd Moderate Risk ArkLaTex
Calderon replied to Ed, snow and hurricane fan's topic in Central/Western States
76mph at Love Field and 63mph at Executive/Red Bird Airport. -
March 2nd Moderate Risk ArkLaTex
Calderon replied to Ed, snow and hurricane fan's topic in Central/Western States
NAS JRB Fort Worth lost power and no observation came out to catch the squall. Also, sirens going off in most of Dallas County for all municipalities. Update: City of Dallas keeps continuously reactivating with about 30 second pauses between them. -
March 2nd Moderate Risk ArkLaTex
Calderon replied to Ed, snow and hurricane fan's topic in Central/Western States
77mph at Fort Worth Meacham Airport (FTW). Ironically, it is the METAR. -
March 2nd Moderate Risk ArkLaTex
Calderon replied to Ed, snow and hurricane fan's topic in Central/Western States
And barreling right down the I-20/TX-183 corridor during the evening rush. Good lord... -
March 2nd Moderate Risk ArkLaTex
Calderon replied to Ed, snow and hurricane fan's topic in Central/Western States
That cell in Palo Pinto County is riding that OFB right into the northern core of the Metroplex. Don't count your beans this early. -
March 2nd Moderate Risk ArkLaTex
Calderon replied to Ed, snow and hurricane fan's topic in Central/Western States
Also monitoring a potential sleeper hail threat near SAT and AUS areas towards the midnight timeframe. -
Texas/Oklahoma Discussion & Obs Thread 2022
Calderon replied to It's Always Sunny's topic in Central/Western States
The ASOS moved a few years ago at a lower part of the AUS property and the office in New Braunfels has mentioned that with all the record lows seen lately at Bergstrom versus Mabry. Part of it is also the county is a singular zone versus say some in Florida put as "inland" versus "coastal." -
Texas/Oklahoma Discussion & Obs Thread 2022
Calderon replied to It's Always Sunny's topic in Central/Western States
The fact models usually struggle with these shallow cold air masses and they're trending with icing now up to the edge of the Escarpment in Bexar County is getting concerning. Austin and nearby could be in some big trouble. -
Problem is in Selma is that you can see a lot of subpar, older, and/or poor construction and a good majority of homes will probably be totaled.
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Pre-Christmas (Dec 21-23rd) Winter Storm
Calderon replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
That drastic a jump makes me just want to say “toss it” with this run. Something seems way off. . -
Pre-Christmas (Dec 21-23rd) Winter Storm
Calderon replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The fact we could potentially have verifiable blizzard conditions in the STL area, especially Metro East, is freaking wild. . -
11/29/22 MDT Outlook Issued -- Regional outbreak possible.
Calderon replied to CryHavoc's topic in Central/Western States
Bassfield gets hit again for the 2nd time in under 3 years. Yeesh, what terrible luck. -
11/29/22 MDT Outlook Issued -- Regional outbreak possible.
Calderon replied to CryHavoc's topic in Central/Western States
The supercell near Wisner, LA is going to be a problem for the Jackson area in time. It's got a lot of space outside of the thunderstorm over Waterproof, LA.
