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Calderon

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Calderon

  1. Rednecks know no better. Like his Michael footage with sections of a roof flying by: "no, not yet, not yet", referring to the eyewall.
  2. Yeah, Marco is decapitated. That's the mid-level vort racing towards FL. I wouldn't be shocked if this is written off by the 11am advisory at this point.
  3. Oof, I'd be willing to bet the decoupling is well underway.
  4. Oh, I'm not disagreeing at all when I'm able to look at satellite imagery for Marco versus deployment wx, but for pressure I want to see multiple fixes. We'll see what he's able to do as the diurnal minimum makes it way to that side of the globe.
  5. It was just one pass, so it's way too early to say that until we get more fixes.
  6. Trust me, I'm over 8k miles from home and the modeling here has been s**t recently. The activity last night and today have ZERO support from models we use. It's insane.
  7. It's time to cancel your ability to post.
  8. It's one of our Navy models, it's garbage most of the time.
  9. So DVN wound up actually doing surveys?
  10. But the GFS hasn't seen it for days, it's all a fluke!
  11. I'm still quite surprised that the disaster declaration on the federal side hasn't been approved yet for Iowa & Illinois. This is an absolute mess for several cities and countless farms. Surely this will be Iowa's most expensive non-flooding related natural disaster.
  12. We're talking about presentation, intensity, ACE, etc. We may be on the "J" name, but 2005 by far blows this season away so far.
  13. Scott AFB (BLV) picked up just under 6" over about 3 hours earlier today and caused significant flooding on base with dozens, if not over 100, vehicles submerged and numerous buildings, including Air Mobility Command's HQ having water enter them.
  14. Estimates of up to 10mil acres, roughly 1/3, of Iowa's corn crop is damaged/destroyed. Unreal. https://www.kcci.com/article/derecho-damage-to-iowa-crops/33577652
  15. Oh, I've seen the video posted on Twitter. Definitely a confirmed today given the very obvious rotating and upward motion of the debris cloud.
  16. Looking at some of the damage, some Iowa counties may have near total losses of corn crops. They're just completely flattened.
  17. So, for the Chicagoland area today: rampant looting in the early morning, then a large factory fire near O' Hare, now tornado warning with 80+mph winds. 2020 is wild, today, even wilder.
  18. LOT is including wording that winds may last longer than 30 minutes, which seems pretty damn accurate.
  19. Sounds like holding firm with the MDT given the wording on that MD.
  20. Widespread damage reported in Cedar Rapids, unsurprisingly.
  21. Damn, Marshalltown can't catch a break these last 2 years.
  22. Well, that's pretty easy to accomplish when one has already happened before August 1st.
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