Eduardo
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Everything posted by Eduardo
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Sweet, elusive backlash….rains
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Chris, to your knowledge, has there ever been another decade of warm Septembers like this? The trend is so pronounced that people who don’t obsess over the weather like us seem to be noticing.
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Reminds me of Irene in 2011. Once her inner core was disrupted, she was kind of a mess of a cyclone that couldn’t get it together as she crawled up the EC.
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I see this “mind of their own” trope often, but I don’t understand it. Don’t deeper cyclones tend to move more poleward? IIRC, Irma defied the models (biased toward that climatologically-favored outcome in their longer ranges) because an anomalously-robust ridge to her north forced her south of due west at one point. Not saying that can’t happen again, of course. But if it does, I do wonder if it’ll be because Lee to be has a “mind of his own.”
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I don’t think the EC becomes a possibility unless and until we see either: (1) south of due west motion; and/or (2) a center reformation to the south (unlikely, given the low shear environment). If any of these occur, then I’ll be interested in it as something more than a swell generator.
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100% this!! Usually, it’s the thunder that stirs me from my sleep. Never been woken up by lightning alone until last night!!
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First time in my life awakened by lightning and not thunder (and through closed shades to boot)! Excellent storm!
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Sitting in the city very skeptical. I’m hoping for something interesting, but I can’t help but feel like it’s all gonna fizzle.
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Heavy rain in Northport (LI)! Hardest I’ve seen it rain in awhile!
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Nice CTG lightning strike right over Manhattan just now. Pouring as well!
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I’m still waiting for last winter to start as well……
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Never seen anything like this. Manhattan smells like a campfire and the sky over it is an almost catoyant dark orange.
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I am not gonna complain. Would love to see some severe wx (which we only seem to get during the winter months now anyway), but I am loving the lack of humidity!
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Aside from driving blizzard conditions, this is some of the best weather for a late-night walk. If you’ve got a few mins to spare, do it!
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Some serious pingers outside my 47th-floor window in Manhattan!
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Was probably the particulates from the wildfires filtering the sunlight you were seeing.
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I’m traveling to Albany for work this week. Might be my only chance to see more than 1/2” of snow on the ground this winter. What a ratter of a season.
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Just walked through a Brooklyn neighborhood I haven’t visited since January 2014. Got some serious tundra nostalgia. Hoping we get locked into another pattern like that during my lifetime!
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I feel like it’s so late in the game that, at most, this’ll just mean that the weather is more spring-like now than it will be after the equinox (i.e., follow up our craptastic winter with a(nother) dreary, damp spring).
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See for me, 13–14 was closer to an A winter because of the entrenched cold. I’ll take slightly less snowfall if it sticks around for longer periods of time. The snowstorm with single-digit temps in January 2014 was a huge plus too.
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If it showed a cold flip, we’d discount it. But since it’s this ‘winter’ I’d bet money that it pans out.
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93–94 and 95–96 were great winters for different reasons. 93–94 came after a multi-year crap fest and had it all: sustained cold, snow, and even a true ice storm. 95–96 was just incredible because of the sheer amount of snowfall right down to the coast. I’m a bit of a retention snob though so, for me, the 13–14 and 14–15 stretches were even better than those. We saw one snowstorm (in early ‘14 I think) with temps in the single digits. There were some solid, almost tundra-like conditions that lasted weeks at a time. Waterways frozen, snow that just blew around from place to place and refused to melt, and weeks of single-digit lows. Been awhile since we’ve seen that kind of “deep winter” now. Would love another stretch like that!
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I live on Roosevelt Island and the December event did not give us a coating. We are still at 0.
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Impressive CTG strike followed by a loud clap of thunder over the East River just now. Peak severe season!
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Not at all! We should stay on the forum, both to commiserate and to continue learning from one-another. There is definitely much to be gained from refining our abilities to sniff out the warning signs of a crumby winter in advance and theorize about what might get us out of the snow slump we are in.
