Jebman

Darn it. I can't even go out and do delivery tonight, because I know there are numerous low water crossings where I drive at night and these places are wet as heck from recent rainfall. El Nino is bringing even more rain tonight. Otis just HAD to go from a tropical storm to a Cat 4 hurricane in under 12 hours, and we are getting upper level moisture from Otis. This is getting ridiculous. We dont need no more Pacific hurricanes, enough is already enough! I am sick of Nino already. Hays County is already under a flood watch, as 1-3 inches of rain on top of what we already got in the past three days are forecast, with some communities getting 4-6 inches. This is NO TIME FOR AN OVERACHIEVING STORM. We need to dry out real bad already. To add even more woes, Sunday night will bring frigid mid January conditions with high temperatures potentially only in the middle 40s for Monday! With freezing cold northerly winds! I can't even find my winter coat! Whatever happened to highs around 77? Thats the NORMAL high temperature for Buda this time of year. This is no time for an overachieving Arctic front.

Palisades Tahoe got 3-4 inches of snow today! Check out the 8200' Scope! https://www.palisadestahoe.com/mountain-information/webcams Its a cool 27 degrees!

Good for you! I am so happy you had a good time! How about those Ravens!!!!!!

Pouring rain. Working on 2 inches since last night. Hello, El Nino.

I will never walk a snow declaration back. EVER. I don't think I want a billion year magnitude rain river after all. Just one inch of rain in a week. For 135 consecutive weeks. Friend of mine came by today, we went to where my car was, he patched that tire right up. Guy is a regular MacGyver. Took the car back home, covered it up. It's raining but I don't want a flood. We already got one inch overnight. It needs to clear up, dry out then we can have a half inch of rain on Thursday. I am a little bit more careful what I wish for. On the other hand I wish at least thirty BECS-magnitude blizzards on the Washington Metropolitan Region this winter.

You guys are never gonna believe this. My car is 13 miles away. I had a flat. Mom brought me home. The car roof leaks bad. We are getting hit by that rain I said I wanted. The Norma moisture and the darn trough are coalescing. I wish I had been careful about what I wished for. I am frantically praying for the rain to miss us. What have I done?

Ravens will get better.

My favorite place on Earth, is now Cherrapunji in India. Winds transport moisture up against mountains and they get ~1000 inches per year. I would never run out of water.

Texas is much drier than Virginia. We are all hoping and praying for rain, because next summer is progged to be worse than 2023's was. Maybe we should get the Native Americans in Oklahoma to come down here and do a three day rain dance festival.

You can take that to the bank, with fifty percent interest. Mid Atlantic is in for a massive treat, with weather weenies flying all over the place!

I am becoming increasingly suspicious this winter, of what may well turn out to be a bone dry El Nino for Texas all winter, resulting in a catastrophically bone dry Spring 2024 and then a truly desperate bone dry Summer 2024, with ground water supplies completely drying out and outright wars over water breaking out. Right now we have an unbelievable influx of people moving in from all over the country, in addition to folks coming north from lovely southern locales. It's going to change. Once everyone gets on city water, and the Colorado River dries up, there is going to be a massive Gaza-like exodus to anyplace that gets regular rain, like Florida. Or New Orleans. Mid Atlantic is on track for lots rain trending down into mix then heavy snows throughout the Winter of 2023-24 then the so-called spring of 2024. I used to live up there. You guys get every single storm that smashes into the CONUS. In fact the Mid Atlantic may be 400 percent above normal for precip into the Summer of 2024. That figure may turn out to be ridiculously conservative. This Nino is going to dump and dump and dump on the Eastern Seaboard. It is already happening. Western Europe is also getting hit and will continue to be extremely hard hit this winter and next spring. But the inconvenient Truth over time, is that the Southwest IS TRENDING MUCH DRIER. I'd happily pay higher taxes in order to get a billion year atmospheric river right into Hays County where I live. I want moisture from both the South Pacific and the Caribbean feeding in and generating endless training thunderstorms and huge deep orange returns about eight hundred miles long with highly efficient rains that just keep on coming and coming and Central Texas is in the news for billion year flooding, with insane blocking that just keeps the storm process anchored over Texas for many fun days and nights! I'd love to see Rt 1626 and Rt 967 under 45 feet of floodwaters. Thats right where I live, and it is dry as a frackin' Martini. I am crying out desperately for a George BM-magnitude rain event, and even for MULTIPLE George BM-magnitude rain events.

But right now, WE in Texas are getting demolished by an autumnal heat wave! It is 96 degrees along with a 43 dewpoint. Humidity is 16 percent. Tomorrow may be hotter and will likely challenge long-standing records. TODAY might end up challenging long-standing records. EDIT: It's 97 degrees with a 41 dewpoint. Feels like 93. Humidity is 14 percent. This feels like Lubbock, Texas weather, lol.

You are gonna get it. That place will get demolished by torrential deep snow!

Anyone have a look at Western Europe? They are absolutely getting destroyed by a HUGE rainstorm!!

And I thought I was a snow weenie!

Not only do long range models indicate troughs in the East this winter, but you guys have been troughing a good bit all YEAR lol! Troughs plus an active subtrop jet and timing well with cold air = Memorable Mid Atlantic Winter. Lots of snow and sore backs and fights for parking spots and shouting angrily at plow operators for leaving 6 foot snow berms in your driveways repeatedly, that freeze ultra hard like avalanche snow in Alta Utah, that you then get to chip thru with a pick, for hours and hours. Strap yourselves in, hell of a ride incoming!

Not gonna be desperate this winter. Can't always say for sure what complex combo of moving parts make a good winter in the Mid Atlantic, but in 23-24 it just happens --- and people will be frantically digging massive amounts of snow. You'll not only need a bigger shovel, you will be crying for the Jebman to come help dig you out, lol.

We are going to be unprecedentedly lucky this winter in the Mid Atlantic. In fact we will be so lucky, and so many waves will time well with cold air, that weather enthusiasts will somehow plow their way to MGM National Harbor and WIN BIG on Craps and other Table Games. IF, you all can dig all that deep snow!

We will be busy living out D15 fantasies for three months, and be buried in deep snow! The very BEST that can happen, WILL HAPPEN with the Arctic Oscillation, and every snow weenie in the Mid Atlantic wont just be flying. They'll be in near permanent orbit.

This is getting ridiculous. We have fallen to a temperature, that for us down here in the Southwest, is like Vodka Cold for this time of year. It's 43/36. It is cold as heck! Our low is supposed to be 60. If we keep on with these kinds of temperature anomalies into deep winter, we might end up far worse than last February's three quarter inch icestorm, or worse off than in the Infamous February 2021 Cold/Ice/Snow Outbreak, in which our pipes froze solid and I hauled water like an 1890s pioneer in the Oklahoma Territory. I am definitely NOT used to this kind of cold, not after working outside in that fiery 104 every day for weeks. EDIT 9pm: Our avg temps have now fallen to 79/59!!! Time to celebrate with a billion kegs of Texas Beer!

It's fallen to 56 degrees. The dewpoint is down to 34. Its chilly as heck. I am not used to this. The wind is NE at 7, gusting to 11. It will likely plummet into the lower 40s. This is VERY cold for south central TX at this time of year. Normal low is 60.

Last night: FIRST OFFICIAL LOW IN THE 40s!!! It got down to 46. It was cold as all heck! We just got done with one hellish brutal fiery summer only scant weeks ago! Dewpoint was 39. Winds were north at 10. That windchill was frigid. It made me think of the winter that is about to smash right into the Mid Atlantic, laden with snow and vodka cold temps!

It is also going to be very cold and very snowy for the Mid Atlantic in 2023-24.

It is currently 55 degrees down here with a 37 dewpoint. This is very chilly for us.

The light outside looks off. It looks as if there are cirrostratus clouds over the sun but it is clear as a bell. You can watch live broadcasts of the eclipse on nasa online. It's really intriguing. Never try to look at a solar eclipse with your naked eye. Can't wait for April 8th next year. We are gonna be 100% with that puppy.