Jebman

So hard to believe, flood watch into tomorrow, Tuesday! 2 to 6 inches possibly tonight as an MCV continues to swirl to our southwest interacting with the highly abnormally humid airmass. I could still get my mini flood tonight, right when I am trying to deliver Uber lol. It'd serve me right, I am the guy who is dying to climb a tree in the midst of deep floodwaters, screaming myself HOARSE for rescue! I want to go full Kerrville, full-on Guadalupe, just like on July 4th! Should be really fun with the bad left knee! NO WAY I can run from this! I REALLY AM The Floodman!

And come Nov 27, I know The Reaper WILL BE BACK for bisnass!

Well full summer is building in. All rain missed us today. Now comes the Monster Ridge of Doom. No more rain for us until the El Nino of 2109. Til then drought and steady desertification. 2025 will not go down as the wettest year. 2025 will go down as an exemplar of evidence of the most severe Global Warming so far in Man's History. This will be the hottest year all over the globe, and in the USA, many places by Thanksgiving will be in severe, desperate drought. The rain is going to shut off and stay off and it will get extremely HOT, especially in the South. Texas will be the Epicenter of one of the absolute WORST summers of all-time! A catastrophic Gulf of Mexico anticyclone will develop and will prolong summer heat and extreme humidity right into Christmas! Other weather systems will bounce right off this fiery, ultra-humid puppy!

Pretty significant storms are forming and moving toward Kerrville. I do not want them to get that. Rescuers have operations ongoing there. I want that heavy rain in BUDA, now!

The 1st Rule of Inevitable Desertification is: Rain Delayed, is RAIN DENIED. And, Never forget Lucy, especially in the low sun period when jonesing for snow. This almost never fails. Today's Application: We waited excitedly all night for all that rain. It was DELAYED. It weakened, fell apart then sped up like an F-35 fighter. The rain was delayed then was DENIED to Buda. I stayed up all night waiting for it. DAMN! NEXT UP is a strong subtropical ridge building over Texas. Now comes one of the hottest summers ever! The record books will have to be rewritten because of hundreds of temperature records falling right through Thanksgiving, accompanied by almost no rain.

Ok I change my tune. The entire weather system is going to miss Buda. No measurable rain at all. I have been watching every Kerrville video on YouTube. I have been listing every last one of them on my new wiki. I want lots of rain, now. I want Plum Creek to Kerrville Rt 1626 at 967. I want my very own YouTube vid of Kerrville Buda. I crave disaster declarations for northern Hays County where I live. Turns out that I adore Kerrville and Ruidoso with all my heart. I wanna watch those water levels rise! I want to get some live flood readings, while I limp along on my bad knee. I am no different from what I was in Dale City. I still enjoy this stuff with all my heart. I am a billion year flood weenie. Well that is a 100 percent MISS for Buda. NWS cried wolf haha but I ain't laughing. I got one tenth of an inch. Kyle stole all our rain. Kyle has water everywhere. Poor Buda, always a swing and a miss. The entire storm is speeding up, heading for DCA. This is probably it for the summer and likely for years. I will never attain my dream, getting to climb a tree with fifty feet of water speeding by, while I get to scream myself HOARSE for a water based rescue. NWS you need to go back to meteorology school. You forecast 9 to 12 inches of rain last night. We got .1 inch. NWS biggest FAIL ever! No wonder you get cut back. I am not so sure about this crazy administration sometimes, but these alarmist forecasts have got to stop. You got my hopes way up for a decent Kerrvilling in Buda, and for what? Bitter disappointment and severe disillusionment for the rest of my short, miserable life! I envy those flood areas so bad. What I am about to say is purely speculative. There is no such thing. I am making all this dumb, speculative stuff up, all because I am so desperate for a 1500 year flood in Buda. I am probably the most desolate, desperate man in the entire world, all because I live in the wrong fucking place. But speculatively speaking, if we could influence the weather ( and I do realize man cannot) I wish Buda could get hit. Our soils are saturated. I wish someone could augment a Cat 5 hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico, and make it hit Corpus Christi then move NWly to sw of Buda and drag a potent rainband with hyper efficient rain production, right over Buda for about 3 days. I would be out in that, getting my fill of water levels readings and whooping it up while blasting Peter Cetera tracks from a waterproof Bluetooth speaker!

Central Texas is done for. Some places will get 12 inches of rain by 7pm tonight. It has been good knowin' y'all. Ground is saturated. That much rain is apocalyptic. If you can, get out of central Texas while you still can. Fly far away from the absolute devastation to come. Our time has run out. I am poor. I will perish here. No way out. None at all.

Time to head for the mountains, like Mammoth mountain. Western Ski resorts will continue to pile up snow. Sierran cordillera DGAF about warming. They will pile up devastating amounts of snow anyway and avalanches will pile up still more. There's no shortage of snow at western ski resorts. They badly need more manpower to keep those roads there clear.

Here we go again. Worse, Kerr County and Kerrville may get the dreaded 9 inches of additional rain anytime between now and 7pm tomorrow. Soils are waterlogged. In Kerr County soils are thin underlain by rock. Any rain will runoff and trigger flooding because of soaked antecedent conditions. Flood Watch National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 703 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 TXZ171>173-183>192-202>206-131500- /O.CON.KEWX.FA.A.0006.000000T0000Z-250714T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera- Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Kinney-Uvalde-Medina-Bexar- Comal- Including the cities of Hondo, Uvalde, Kerrville, Burnet, Del Rio, Fredericksburg, Boerne, Bandera, San Antonio, Georgetown, Brackettville, Blanco, Rocksprings, Llano, Leakey, Austin, New Braunfels, and San Marcos 703 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Locally heavy rainfall could lead to flash flooding across portions of south central Texas. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with isolated amounts near 9 inches are possible. * WHERE...A portion of south central Texas, including the following counties, Bandera, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet, Comal, Edwards, Gillespie, Hays, Kendall, This rainfall along with saturated soils will lead to rapid runoff.

I know what you mean. Central Texas in near mid July, lawn looks like early April. Mower still on the Fritz. This place is gonna get so overgrown its gonnabe a jungle and I will change my name on here to JurassicMan.

First class observation.

This is ALL-TIME sig material.

This.

Congratulations, Dale City!!!! You guys have just crossed the 30-inches of rain Line! Here's to 40, even 50 inches! You guys are gonna get drowned by several major tropical cyclones this season! Hey, Let's make it 90 inches this summer/fall!

That means the storm will be intense. I am no meteorologist but those clouds ahead of that storm mean bisnass.

They are waiting for January and February, only in 2026 they will be torrential snow. And they will pile up!

Congratulations everyone! We got hit down here too, 1.7 inches.

This is very bad. No more hurricane data. https://www.tpr.org/environment/2025-06-28/defense-department-will-stop-providing-crucial-satellite-weather-data

Grasses down here are greener than emerald treasures in the old Egyptian tombs that are newly discovered that looters have never gotten to. This is not July 7 Central Texas. This is APRIL 7 Central Texas. BEWARE the rain BLOB just to the north. It's sagging south and here we go again, gonna get Kerr Countied. Stay far away from all creeks. The Ground is saturated. Every bit of precip will run off and pile up. I got a bad bad left knee. I can't run from the rising waters. They will casually carry me away, it's been really nice knowin' y'all as the Jebman becomes the Floodman. I am not a flood chaser. The flood is chasing me! I am seriously Indiana Jonesing for the Valley of The Kings in Egypt, but will likely get Waterworlded instead.

Dammit it's raining again. The radar is getting busy again. There goes my precious 95 degree day! I sure hope we aren't the ones who get stuck with ten more inches!

OK folks. We actually sighted the Sun today. We ALMOST hit 90. Hardly any rain, getting all excited about Monday, SUN WITH EGYPT-LIKE SUMMER CONDITIONS! Man I'll go out and jebwalk, pretend to be looking for hieroglyphic inscriptions at Amarna! I was SOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO STOKED! Then my heart was shattered by the latest from NWS. Flood Watch National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 1146 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025 TXZ171>173-184>194-203>208-071800- /O.NEW.KEWX.FA.A.0005.250707T0446Z-250708T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-Gillespie- Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Uvalde-Medina-Bexar-Comal- Guadalupe-Caldwell- Including the cities of Llano, Fredericksburg, Bastrop, Uvalde, Blanco, Georgetown, Lockhart, Bandera, Austin, Rocksprings, San Antonio, Boerne, Hondo, New Braunfels, Seguin, Leakey, Kerrville, San Marcos, Giddings, and Burnet 1146 PM CDT Sun Jul 6 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. Local rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with 10 inches possible. * WHERE...A portion of south central Texas, including the following counties, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet, Caldwell, Comal, Edwards, Gillespie, Guadalupe, Hays, Kendall, Kerr, Lee, Llano, Medina, Real, Travis, Uvalde and Williamson. * WHEN...Through 7 PM CDT Monday evening. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - A moist tropical airmass combined with a slow moving storm system will bring another round of scattered to numerous showers and storms overnight into Monday morning with heavy rain rates possible. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. && $$ CP This broken record of an Energizer Bunny forecast is starting to read like a George BM forecast! This, is definitely NOT enjoyable. We are stuck in this nightmarish RUT, with no way out. ARE YOU KIDDIN' ME? The radar returns are evaporating! Drier air is advecting in right now at the mid levels! I was all excited about pretending to be Indiana Jones' Dad looking for the Holy Grail in old Egypt! This weather system is like a damned BROKEN RECORD! It just keeps on going, and going, and going! I can't BELIEVE this shoosh! The moisture is GONE! There is NO MORE LIFT! Someone at the National Weather Service is obsessed with this damned storm! GET OVER THIS ALREADY! It's high time to forecast 900dm upper ridge over Buda, for the next nine months, La Nina in place with highs in the lower to middle 110s, NO RAIN AT ALL and blistering Egypt-like sun blasting Amarna Buda with fiery heat! I'll be out there dusting off relics and pretending I am archeologisting in the hot countryside at Amarna!

Yeah, this is really bothering all of us down here. Those poor little girls, alone in a raging river that rose something like 25 feet in 45 minutes. I was so relieved earlier tonight, skies were clearing and all the rain areas just went away. Then I just got mocked by the National Weather Service A Flood Watch has been extended through 1 PM Sunday. Additional rainfall amounts of 2-4 inches are possible with isolated pockets of 10 inches somewhere in the watch area. It is very difficult to pinpoint where exactly the isolated heavy amounts will occur in this pattern. Stay Weather Aware! Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 955 PM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025 ...New UPDATE... .KEY MESSAGES... - Threat of Flash Flooding from slow moving and repeat heavy rains later tonight into Sunday morning. Flood Watch for the Hill Country and I-35 corridor has been extended through 1 PM CDT Sunday. - Continued unseasonably wet and "cool" Monday. - Turning seasonably drier and warmer next week. && .UPDATE... Issued at 955 PM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025 Multiple models show another round of showers and thunderstorms with pockets of heavy rains later tonight into Sunday morning. As a result, have extended the Flood Watch through 1 PM CDT on Sunday. Have also increased POPs for the Hill Country to along the I-35 corridor.

It is clearing up and the radar is dissolving into nothingness! We are in the clear! I want 90s and sunshine tomorrow! Should be perfectly dry and hot into Hallowe'en! Gotta WUB south central Texas!!!!!!!!!!! We do NOT have rain in Texas in summer. We get treated to 106 degrees, Egypt-like sunshine and heat indices near 120! Not one cloud! Rain be GONE! It's SUMMER now!

Enjoy that game!!! Enjoy that nice weather too!

THIS IS GETTING PRETTY BAD. Flash Flood Warning TXC091-209-051800- /O.NEW.KEWX.FF.W.0061.250705T1446Z-250705T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 946 AM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Eastern Comal County in south central Texas... Hays County in south central Texas... * Until 100 PM CDT. * At 946 AM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 2 to 4 inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing flash flooding. SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... New Braunfels, San Marcos, Kyle, Buda, Dripping Springs, Wimberley, Canyon Lake Dam, Canyon Lake, Woodcreek, Uhland, Mustang Ridge, Niederwald, Bear Creek, Driftwood, Mountain City, Hays, Hays City, Hunter and San Marcos Regional Airport. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads. In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded roads. Find an alternate route. Flooding is occurring or is imminent. It is important to know where you are relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become killers in heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or creeks. && LAT...LON 3022 9798 3002 9771 2999 9776 2995 9779 2988 9789 2986 9790 2986 9788 2985 9788 2973 9803 2968 9809 2966 9814 2978 9822 2992 9824 3005 9814 FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...2-4 INCHES IN 1 HOUR $$ MM It's been really nice knowing y'all. Even one foot of floodwaters will sweep me away. My left knee AND foot are hurting. I have had severe troubles with the left foot from decades of stupid jebwalking. Now the KNEE is getting bad too. One bad flood and I'm history! I'll never get to see Egypt or the Valley of the Kings or the Giza Plateau or the Central American pyramids or Chan Chan in Peru.