Jebman

I think it is high time for a snow yarn. This one will be in segments because I am extremely busy where I live now. We are in the Spring cycle in Texas and have 234 decillion, 489 quadrillion tasks to do here. This is not like my life used to be back in N VA 6 years ago. I don't know jack shit about meteorology. I do know I am morbid about terminal snows and severe storms that have no mercy at all, with absolutely no regard at all for consequences to populations. I am evil and uncaring enough to happily write this and sleep like a baby at night with not a care in this world. **************************** January 15, 2025 was a very cold day in the DMV. Everyone knew it was going to snow. The forecasters were calling for 2 to 4 inches. A storm had formed in the GoM, was a southern slider and would bring the snow then move out to sea. Highs even in DC were only in the 0 to 8 degree range. Cross polar flow was established. A refreshing 23 mph northerly breeze was blowing. Clouds were moving in from the southwest and thickening. Dewpoints were around ~ 10 below zero. Jeb was happily jebwalking along in Dale City, with a grin on his face. This was because he knew a lot of snow was coming to the DC Region. In fact it would be way too much of a good thing. Jebs grin broadened at that thought. He worshiped snow, and lots of it! He kicked back on a park bench and happily drew a polar front cross section on a notebook, just like he used to do in high school in lieu of actually doing assigned work. Then he savored the AmWx forums on his tablet. SNE was grumping about the ma getting the snow while they whiffed cirrus. The Mid Atlantic sub was tracking the models to death. The NAM was indicating 3 feet of snow but was an outlier. The model consensus was 3 to 6 inches. Many posters were calling for WSW's. PSU was having to field a ton of questions about the new base state. Jeb daydreamed about trying to shovel out the entire Potomac Mills parking lot using a Jebman Shovel, and piling the snow super high! Altostratus was moving in from the ESE. Was that a flurry? Naah the dews were way too low, about -13. The breeze was refreshing though. Jeb read the NWS LWX AFD for the 79th time. Forecasters insisted the southern slider would move out to sea. This would hold accums to 2 to 4 inches. Many in the Mid Atlantic sub were hopeful the storm would overachieve and dump warning level amounts of snow. Bob Chill said the slider had upside, especially because the ratios were favorable. Jed happily walked the Potomac Mills lot, admiring the milquetoast small piles of snow here and there. The skies grew darker and more foreboding and the cool north wind gusted suddenly to 37 mph out of the NE! A flurry of snow began, leaving Jeb wondering how precip could be already reaching the ground with low negative teen dewpoints! The wind blew the snow right along the lot pavement!

You have a job in heaven. I love that video with all my heart! I would be digging snow for years!

Damn I hate Texas. This GD place is always cloudy with catastrophic rains during total eclipses. This happened here 600 years ago during the last total eclipse in Central Texas. I am officially cursed. I despise where I live and I hate my cloudy, torrentially rainy life too! I am officially shyte out of luck.

Uh oh more clouds may move in Monday lol. These model runs are tough to look at. Definitely gonna make sure I have enough beers and some liquor around. I dont drink much but if we have clouds building in tough for Monday, I'll drink myself right into a serious stupor, probably end up right in the ER, over a dumb cloudy eclipse lmao. There's always Sydney in 2028 but that trip is gonna be pricey pricey pricey pricey.

Why are the Orioles so concerned about Kimbrel as closer? I dont know a whole lot about baseball, though. I looked him up. Seems the Orioles should have gotten someone else on as closer. Maybe Kimbrel's salary? Are the orioles saving money by signing Kimbrel on?

I feel a lot better. California should have plenty of water this spring, if not summer. The problem is, we need to release all that water in order to save the Delta Smelt.

Count me in mate!

If we are I am due to get Reaped. Reaper, you better don that garment of darkness. You got a job to do. Your sacred chamber is radiating a hellish RED right now! I jumped ship, I believed not only in multiple deep impenetrable cloud decks but also in torrential rains that would have provoked serious loss of life and property in Hays County, Texas, on eclipse day and for a couple of days after.

Tip, I apologize for messing with your post earlier. I won't do it ever again. I really enjoy when you recognize a pattern then get into serious, energetic, enthusiastic analysis mode! That's when you start making those trillion dollar posts like the one at the beginning of this thread, and when I read it I feel like I just won 50 billion dollars on the mega millions. I really truly seriously love those posts you make where you analyze a promising pattern, setup to a decent blizzard for the SNE.

Thanks, Fozz.

Maine is clear as Texas, Texas as cloudy as Maine lol. Clowns to the left of me, jokers to the right, here I am stuck in the middle with you lol. Eclipse lovers may need a new hobby

Well maybe there is some hope. Just in case it is cloudy, I want to make damn sure I can drink myself into a total stupor.

No I am NOT sure at all. Yeah Ice I concede. You are right. It will be thick clouds and good chance rain. For four days lmfao. Thick clouds with rain. Day before the eclipse, day of the eclipse and for two days after the eclipse. Talk about BAD LUCK!!

That'd be me. Lots clouds forecast along with rain. NE is on track sunshine wispy cirrus and nice weather. Enjoy the eclipse.

April 7 thru 10 solid clouds with very good rain chances here in Buda. Forecast continues to solidify up with excellent rains and thick clouds. Multiple thick well-developed cloud decks at various altitudes with efficient moisture transport. Probable low level fog as well, due to rain falling into 70 degree dewpoint airmass at 2 meters. ZERO chance of glimpsing the eclipse thru multiple strong cloud decks. Eclipse watchers, stay far from Austin. It's gonnabe a Rainer, a multi-day soaker. It'll be a Rainer to make Washington DC proud in January in a super Nino with a blazing fiery base state like this past ratter of a winter there. In short, we have a strong soaking Eclipse Special on tap not just on eclipse day but also the preceding day and two days after, for damn good measure!!!!!!!!! I am depressed and inconsolable. This was my last chance in this lifetime. It's just too bad. Go to Mexico. Should be dry hot and sunny. Need to change the title of this ratter of an eclipse to April 8th Rainy, Socked In Son Of A Bytch, Abandon ALL Fookin' Hope, For The Rest Of Your Miserable Lives Eclipse. I'll tell you what's to blame for this frackin' debacle. It's that fiery blazing hot venusian base state, and its partners in crime, the bloated Hadley Cells and fooked up MJO. Just like those sobs did in the Mid Atlantic this past ratter of a pathetically skunked up so called winter. Who's jaded now?

Head for Jay Peak. They might get 3 feet of freshies from the upcoming storm!

Thanks. Buda has a 95 percent probability of cloud cover on the 8th. I am getting just as jaded, as my grandpa was years ago. No fookin eclipse for me or for untold millions who put their trust in Texas weather. Too bad the eclipse wasn't Aug 15. That month is always 103 and cloudless. FOOK FOOK FOOK FOOK FOOK FOOK FOOK FOOK FOOK!

I would love it if everyone all along the Path could see the eclipse, even if I can't.

April fools on that storm setup. Don't make me write one up on a day after tomorrow snow that kills everyone in the US. I do, after all, value snow over people. That's no lie. That ain't no April fools, either. I am definitely far crazier, than I ever was in high school over snow.

Well, you can enjoy the beer, BBQ and brisket, at least.

It's official. 80 percent chance of heavy rain on April 8th. Everyone going to Texas it's high time to bail. It's gonna be a three day cloudy blow. Maybe everyone is gonnabe cloudy. I think there is still time to change airline resses without too much of a penalty. Or take out a home equity loan and charter a 747 and watch the eclipse. Too bad I will miss it for sure. Fook this life, everything is going to shyte. No doubt about that, now.

I am perfectly positioned for this cloudy eclipse.

We usually get lots sun and are left wanting for rain, lol. Way of life here. Famous last words...........

Don't look now but even MORE snow at Mammoth!!! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge It is REALLY starting to come down harder! This is beginning to remind me of two nights ago! These aggregates are getting FRACKING HUGE AGAIN!!!! These unbelievably huge flakes are so damned BIG, that you can see them individually on the lodge roof! Man this place NEVER LETS YOU DOWN!!! I have found a God to worship, it is called Mammoth! They are ALWAYS GETTING ANNIHILATED BY SNOW!!!

Hug it. PSU will get 6-10 inches of new snow.