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MANDA

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Everything posted by MANDA

  1. MANDA
    Looks good to me. Have been expecting pretty much this all week....including going over to a mix for a time at my location. We'll know for sure in 24 hours.
  2. MANDA
    Which thread are we using for obs? This one or the one just created?
  3. MANDA
    Holding with my 4-6" forecast for my location and still believe will go to mix and perhaps just plain rain at 33/34 degrees overnight / early morning. I am thinking 4" will be closer to actual than the 6" but staying with that range.
  4. MANDA
    Heading westbound on 80 I've seen some very sharp increases in snow depth and deteriorating road conditions once to exit 35 as you start to gain elevation. Works in reverse if you are heading eastbound.
  5. MANDA
    This looks pretty good to me. I'm going with 4-6 here. Snow to a mix back to some modest snow before ending Sunday. The 2" on L.I. north shore looks a bit much and I'd go with .50 - 1" CP if they measure timely and properly.
  6. MANDA
    Toot your horn as you pass exit 30 on I-80. Former southern Morris County resident now west central and up at about 1000'. It makes a difference in snow totals in certain situations...tomorrow being one of them.
  7. MANDA
    I don't think that map is going to be far from reality. A tad higher interior NNJ and a little lower NYC/Western L.I. I suspect.
  8. MANDA
    Yes, likely overdone BUT I do think this upcoming event it going to exceed expectations when compared to some of the over zealous model forecasts over the last few months....especially inland. Would not be surprised to see 40-50 mph gusts over interior NNJ. Gusts of 40 mph+ from the southeast, sodden ground, additional heavy rains are going to cause widespread tree / power issues.
  9. MANDA
    2-4" in CP is not happening. I'm very skeptical as well.
  10. MANDA
    If CP sees 1" call it a win.
  11. MANDA
    Currently -30 to -40 over Northern Canada. Get the right pattern for a quick and direct discharge and it will come rushing south. Animate the 00Z Euro tropopause parameter.
  12. MANDA
    I"m going with 4-6" for my location and I think I at least mix for a time before going back to snow. I've got some elevation to work with here and that is going to help. Morristown to my southeast at lower elevation I think is 2-4" with a flip to mix or even plain rain for a time.
  13. MANDA
    Surprised not much talk (unless I missed it) of potential pending major Arctic dump into the western 1/3 of U.S. late next week. Some amazing temperature departures loom and polar vortex potentially drops south over the general vicinity of the Rockies. Subject to some change but could be bordering on historic cold for the Pacific NW on south. Rain and wind event for our area (Tuesday/Wednesday) likely to produce moderate to major river flooding and power outages over large area of the Tri-State region. Winds could be real deal even for inland areas this go round.
  14. MANDA
    This ! All of this !
  15. MANDA
    Better hope that trend does not persist. I abandoned suppression solutions yesterday. Still not convinced even interior does not have mixing issues before all is said and done. That 50/50 low is the only thing saving the day from a hugger or cutter. Surface high pressure nice to have but not ideal location by any means and not that cold of an air mass to work with. We'll see where this heads as guidance rolls in today, tonight and tomorrow. I'd keep enthusiasm in check for inland areas and as for the coast consider it a win if you can break the lack of 2" streak.
  16. MANDA
    Exactly! It was just the details that took a bit to fine tune but those maps were classic "big event" look.
  17. MANDA
    Nice to have a high to the "north" but that is far from a classic "look" for snow in the big cities. Personally I like the "banana" look with center over the northern lakes. That high position with marginal cold air to begin with ain't gonna cut it along and southeast of I95. Even interior could have issues with mix depending on exact track. I'm not sold on an all snow solution for any part of this sub forum to be honest. I'm more concerned for further north coast hugger than suppression.
  18. MANDA
    It is a week away. The details are far from certain and the models WILL waffle back and forth. I'm just happy there is some potential and something to track. Looks like legit chance of measurable snow especially interior. For now just watch the model trends....long way to go.
  19. MANDA
    Ugly, just ugly.
  20. MANDA
    Not much mention about the state of the Great Lakes water temps and ice cover. Just checked. On average GL water temps are running about 12 degrees F warmer than this date last year. Average ice coverage is .20%. Neither of those two things is going to help us chill down in any notable way over the next 2 weeks at least. Any "cold" air mass crossing those waters is going to modify significantly. If we could get a frigid air mass to surge southeastward over those warm waters the LE snow guns would roar but not seeing that happen anytime soon.
  21. MANDA
    Yes, keep filter clean, vents on device clean and dump and clean the catch container daily.
  22. MANDA
    Two day rainfall = 2.48". December = 10.43". 2023 = 63.76"
  23. MANDA
    I'd be careful running a dehumidifier. If not kept clean you can pump all sorts of bacteria and mold into the air on top of what you may already have. You've got to keep them clean.
  24. MANDA
    Two day rainfall = 2.48". December = 10.43". 2023 = 63.76"
  25. MANDA
    A simpler place and time. Something to be said for that.
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