psuhoffman

March 1-3 still interesting on gfs. Some snow at the start. Then it bombs up west. But...if the southern feature is a little more dominant and it phases into that instead of the northern stream that could trend better. It’s close.

Omg you really do live in a snow anus. You gotta get out of there!

Maybe but I doubt it. I have spend winters in snowy places and it didn’t get old. I loved stepping outside to a snow covered landscape as much on the 30th day as the first. Just something about a snow covered ground feels right to me.

The 80s into 90s might be extreme wrt individual storms but NYC has had plenty of other bad snowfall periods. And this past stretch since 2003 has been just ridiculous. 9/16 years above 40” long term avg says they should be 2/3. 11 30”+ years and that should be ~5. History suggests nyc will revert to that avg. From 1924-1933 was pretty bad without a single 40” season. From 1924 to 1947 there was only 1 40” year! From 1950-1955 not one 20” season! The 1970s only had one 30”+ winter. So maybe NYC never has another 10 years without a 8” storm but they will have a 10 year stretch without any or more than 1 40” winters...or 3+ consecutive years without 20”. History says that will happen. And the nyc people I know will go crazy. They act like they are the grandfather creators of snow and entitled to every storm now. I might too if I was on the heater they are just saying the fall will hurt when it happens.

Long range still looks fine to me. We’re still outside range for details.

I’ve actually seen some in the NYC area talking about some “new climate” nonsense as if this is their new normal. Their gonna cry when they get a run like the 1980s again when they had like one 10” storm in a 10 year stretch. They got so spoiled by a fluke run they’ve been on.

I think you took my rant a little to literally. Lol No one deserves or doesn’t deserve snow. That was supposed to be tongue in cheeck. But the part I was serious about was questioning how a true hard core snow lover could survive somewhere that gets 2 good snows a decade and my intent to someday live where it snows 100”+ and not have to worry anymore about the chase.

Lol oops

Love Colorado. WRT what I said obviously the mountains to the south don’t count. They get snow. But I can’t imagine how anyone that loves snow as much as some of us do could survive in a place like Charlotte or Raleigh where many years often go by between decent snowstorms.

IAD: 6.4 BWI: 5.9 DCA: 3.7 RIC: 2.9 my yard 8.5 15” is my stick number. Yea I know that’s crazy high but I’ve actually had that much or more in March 4 of the last 5 years AND it’s exactly what I need to tie my 13 year average here. So I’m going for broke or I’ll just take my chances.

Predict March snowfall this year for the 4 major airports. Predictions have to be in before the 25th. Then for fun predict your yard. Plus what number you would take right now if it was offered as a guarantee or else you could take your chances.

Ok have to get this off my chest. Anyone south of our sub doesn’t deserve snow. If they cared about it enough they would move somewhere it’s supposed to snow. I could never live there. I would go crazy. They can’t possibly be as passionate about snow as I am or they couldn’t live there so they don’t deserve it. Even here as good as my micro climate is I’m kinda on the low edge of what I can tolerate and am unhappy with about 30-40% of my winters and wonder why I don’t just move to a mountain town in northern New England or Colorado so I get enough snow every year and don’t have that frustration in my life. And save the “your crazy” comments. I am fully aware I’m irrational and crazy when it comes to snow. I drive an extra hour everyday to avg 20” more snow a year. Yea I’m crazy. Just being honest about my feelings. No sense living in denial.

You steal another hecs and we’re gonne have words!

Jb is calling for 2 big east coast storms back to back. When has he ever been wrong.

Dunno about 28-1 but I had very high ratios here. We were under the upper low and the ccb blew up right over us and snowed out on top of us all day. That’s a perfect setup for high ratios.

And the snow looks legit. Not a lot of “cutter snow” with lows in Wisconsin and 37 degree temps.

Nice 18z gefs run. A few members suddenly like the miller b March 1-2. More hits March 4-5. Still a lot of NC hits. More hits this run than last few.

I agree with RDM this is one of the dumbest things we go through every year. And no one is saying sun angle doesn’t matter at all. But there are those that blow it way out of proportion. The biggest effect of the sun angle is it’s WARMER lol. And if it’s warmer that makes snow less and less likely. But if it’s below freezing and snowing hard enough it “could” stick in July. Colorado proves that. They are at the same latitude. They have the same sun angle. The only difference is the air is thinner so it’s easier to get cold that time of year. But if it’s cloudy and snowing hard the sun is mostly blocked lol. It needs to be cold enough that’s the bigger problem. 33-34 wont work like it sometimes can in January and it has to snow hard, 8 hours of very light snow that would have been 1.5” in January won’t work either. But this argument it CANT stick in March during the day is beyond stupid and we get it every year.

Ok interesting note...since 1960 is a top analog to the coming pattern. That was probably the ultimate March for cold and snow in the 95 corridor. But going into that March we had less snow than we do this year. BWI was only at 12.5” and DCA 7.2”.

I’m sorry. I don’t know you personally. But when you continue to argue that something can’t happen when it actually has happened numerous times including in the very near past it’s too easy. That is a dumb argument.

You can’t fix stupid

All you ever do it pop on to drop some negativity. And DCA did get accumulating snow during the day on March 20th last year!!! And some places on the coastal plane east of the bay got 8”!!! DC has had accumulating snow in March in 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, and 2018. But you stick to this stupid argument. And many in here have way better climo than DCA. And who said anything about building snowpack. And when the hell do we ever do that even in January? Where do you think we live? Like once a decade do we build snowpack even in mid winter. You used to put more effort into your trolling. This is just lazy stupid nonsense.

It’s not even funny anymore

I feel like we just had this conversation 2 weeks ago when the eps showed 3-4” and now 2 days after you got a warning criteria snow from that your singing the same song? Time to get updates material.

Eps was a noticeable improvement over last run. Shotguns snowstorms all over the east day 8-14. A few nice hits. Some south. Some north. But a good look overall. Best threat is day 10-11