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Baum

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Everything posted by Baum

  1. I was referring to the path of the next clippers. Ground zero- my backyard
  2. Probably about right. But the cold was basically wall to wall until mid February. High school in the late ‘70’s so it’s a bit hazy.
  3. Probably the best start to winter in my 63 years. Probably not a close call either. And that includes the late ‘70’s
  4. Not a big white Christmas guy if I’ve already put 20” on the ground by then.
  5. I’ll take it WHAT...SNOW EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED IN THE VICINITY OF I-88.
  6. https://x.com/nilwxreports/status/1997469765749669946?s=61
  7. Ground zero to start winter this year. It’s been a minute or 11 years.
  8. All Manitoba maulers and Saskatchewan Screamers are pretty much now cast events within 6 hours.
  9. Well, however it plays out well ahead of the game this season.
  10. In retrospect. A good 1-2” event. Looks like mid winter on December 2.
  11. Let’s keep it rolling. Why not. Per Lot: EXPECTATIONS ARE THAT TOP-DOWN SATURATION WILL RESULT IN A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW SPREADING WEST TO EAST OVER THE ENTIRE AREA, REACHING THE I-39 CORRIDOR BY MID-AFTERNOON AND THE CHICAGO METRO AND NORTHWEST INDIANA BY LATE AFTERNOON. MOST GUIDANCE HAS BEEN CONSISTENT IN GENERATING QPF GENERALLY IN THE 0.15-0.20 INCH RANGE, WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS OF AT LEAST 0.25 INCH IN THE BROADER ENSEMBLE ENVELOPE SOUTH OF I-80. MEANWHILE, A 3KM DEEP DGZ INTERSECTING WITH MOST OF THE MID-LEVEL ASCENT WOULD SUPPORT A HIGHER RATIO SNOWFALL ON THE ORDER OF 15:1 TO EVEN 20:1. PUTTING THIS TOGETHER, A WIDESPREAD FLUFFY SNOW EVENT OF 1-3" NORTH OF I-80 AND 2-4" SOUTH OF I-80 APPEARS LIKELY. HAVE SOME CONCERNS THAT THE 600 HPA F-GEN NOTED ABOVE WILL FOCUS A NARROW (COUNTY-WIDE) WSW TO ENE ORIENTED BAND OF HIGHER QPF AND HIGHER SLR (>20:1) SOUTHEAST OF I-55 IN THE EVENING. IN THIS CASE, IT IS FEASIBLE THAT A NARROW 4-6" BAND OF SNOW WILL BE REALIZED. FINALLY, WHILE NOT EXPECTED (10% CHANCE), SYNOPTIC ENHANCEMENT OF A DEVELOPING MESO-LOW OVER SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN TONIGHT COULD BACK CLOSE TO THE ILLINOIS SHORE AS THE LOW-LEVEL SYNOPTIC FLOW TURNS SSE EARLY MONDAY EVENING. WILL THEREFORE NEED TO MONITOR FOR LOCALLY HIGHER SNOWFALL TOTALS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE SHORE FROM DOWNTOWN CHICAGO TO THE IL/WI LINE.
  12. The snow rake maybe in action after a decade of dormancy
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