Baum

^ could be looking at 2019/ 2020 winter's peak over the next 36 hours.......................................................................................................

revised call 2.9"

so what happend to it?

revised call: 4.8" "STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND A DEEPENING DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE (DGZ) IN THE WAKE OF THIS FRONT WILL ALSO SUPPORT BETTER SNOW-TO-LIQUID RATIOS UP AROUND 15-16 TO 1. FOR THIS REASON, ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES (ISOLATED HIGHER) ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. THIS COULD REQUIRE THE NEED TO EXPAND THE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NORTHWARD TO INCLUDE MUCH OF THE CHICAGO METRO AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY, " LOT PM AFD

I don't do RAP.

Here is an optimistic take; were due for a decent spread the wealth system that covers a large area with colder winter temperatures. If it falters, as has been the case in recent times, I avoid the crap all over my shoes and garage area, and can hopefully look forward to an early spring. Even today, the longer days provide harbinger of good times ahead. Heck, spring training begins this week.

5.0" call MBY

don't disagree with the sharp gradient on the NW edge;"LOWER CONFIDENCE IN FAR NORTH/NORTHWEST CWA WHERE LESS FAVORABLE SYNOPTIC EVOLUTION COULD YIELD AFOREMENTIONED SHARPER CUT-OFF IN PRECIP SHIELD.," as LOT alludes too. But fairly solid 3-5" totals thorugh a good chunk of the metro. Ratio's should help. Areas south and east may get the bonus qpf, but with lower ratios.

CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING IN A LONG DURATION ACCUMULATING SNOW EVENT FOR THE CWA STARTING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND ENDING DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY. THERE IS NOW BETTER OPERATIONAL AND ENSEMBLE AGREEMENT IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL PATTERN EVOLUTION.....RC/LOT

no euro kuchera map? bummer........

it would only make sense that the model that was most consistent showing an event would jump ship once a few other models got on board....

bummer man...he delivers.....

Welp. Still hope this AM i see. I'm going to enjoy this final week of winter..personally.

there is no next. I suggest you say a prayer . This is it.

There ya go!

there is an 8"-12" storm lurking....even in the worst of winters............

if it's the 18Z NAM that's exactly what you want to see.

isn't that a can't miss?

^ at some point you would think this two year pattern of weak sheared events that fade as they get near would end........maybe this is the pattern breaker. Got to end at some point.

legit heavy snow....

coming down nicely again...wind has been a non factor.

Decent rates. Quick ground cover. Looks like it will play out as called.

karma. I fully expect this to happen IMBY today.

LOT in subtle walk back mode:...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON... REST OF TODAY SNOW LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SNOW AND DRIZZLE IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. NEW SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION 1 TO 5 INCHES. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION 100 PERCENT.......

according to this you really weren't in line for much....