it's the one that will bomb at the end of the month and tank /spike all the relevant endices for winter weather in March...killing an early spring and severe season.
unfortunately, it will not be all rain. You'd think after such a lame winter period, we'd get the benefit of a warm dry early spring, but rarely plays out that way.
without RC and Carlaw at the desk for LOT got sort of a "meh" AFD on this set up....which maybe appropriate. Just get spoiled with the other boy's tremendous discussions even in the most bland of set ups....
^
not that I put much faith into that model, but that image is probably a best case scenario. Also, keep in mind everything fades south and weaker in time...
^
beyond the heavier snow i reported earlier which was brief you'd have to argue the bonus snows on the arctic front have been a bit of a let down to this point.
pouring flakeage. First real powdery flakes of the year I suspect. Probably at 3"...going to need a good hour or two of decent rates to get too my call.
might not be a bad thing to get rid of today's 3-4" and wash off the salt residue before the warm up. Funny thing, now I see LOT only has upper 20's for highs next Wednesday. Dealayed, not denied I suspect.
I'm the wrong guy to ask regarding this. I'm guessing some of the other Chicago area posters can weigh in on your behalf....I will say if your in lake county forecast is for mid -late evening start....
edit: Cook and Dupage now in WWA.
it seems the immediate Chicago metro is working itself back to the 3-4" totals that looked reasonable before yesterday's 12Z runs. Shame, would have been a nice storm if a phase had occurred.