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Baum

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Everything posted by Baum

  1. Baum
    ^ The man, the myth, the legend......
  2. Baum
    good morning...another day of model watching ftw....whatta hobby! words for the day per LOT:THE BASIC MESSAGE HOWEVER IS THAT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL OF INCHES IS POSSIBLE ACROSS ESPECIALLY NORTHERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA MID-WEEK.
  3. Baum
    FWIW.... Caunucks model looks more like the NAM...placement through N. Ill, S. Wisc., SW. LMich through 72 hrs. Not sure about the defo band yet. Looks like a solid run for these areas to me. The evolution on the NAM and GEM seem much more realistic to me.
  4. Baum
    NAM looks like a reasonable solution , and on quick glance looks like a decent event through hour 72 hr. N. Ill. S. Wisconsin, and S. Lower Mich. Even puts MBY on defo band through hour 84.
  5. Baum
    I'd say your right. But sneaky suspicion you'll bust low.
  6. Baum
    clearly, a touch too far north.
  7. Baum
    personal take. Everything looks to far north and west.
  8. Baum
    nope. I said I saw a "crack"...not a true meltdown. And the meltdowns are key to each storm thread IMHO. They add character. It's getting late and I suspect this thread may get a bit tense. 18Z NAM with a different look. Shocker.
  9. Baum
    Haven't really seen a good meltdown in a while despite the general futility of this winter. Definitely, seeing some cracks in this post. I suspect this storm could be the one to really push some folks over the edge given it's potential.
  10. Baum
    one thing we do now have is all models depicting a significant event. Was not the case 24 hours ago. Building blocks....
  11. Baum
    based on trends today, and the fact I don't expect this to shear and fade south a continued northwest amped outcome is not out of the realm of possibility. Minny and Green Bay special. As nice as today is, I'd rather steer clear of a 2-3 inch slop job. I'm on the give me a 6" or greater or nothing at all.
  12. Baum
    positive take. At least the GFS is on board with an event as opposed to a few runs back that had it in Virginia. And yes, it could certainly be north of northern illinos as that is where the GFS had the system consistently before it lost it. It's rarely cut and dried. Have to add, sure is some funky movement on both the GFS and NAM...at least to my untrained eye.
  13. Baum
    Most trends look good from overnight it appears. 6Z GFS still not on board, but once all the players get on the field I like our chances. Stay positive folks! And enjoy the sunshine and 50's next couple days.
  14. Baum
    How's it looking today?
  15. Baum
    baby steps...
  16. Baum
    that euro ensemble is what i envision.
  17. Baum
    Bomb somewhere. All patterns die eventually. Concern is an east coast theft. And yes, it will be an amped rainer and 1-3 incher for those directly under the storms path.
  18. Baum
    too soon per the euro.
  19. Baum
    Best of luck going forward...sir. It has been a pleasure reading your fine and informative posts. Thank you.
  20. Baum
    still think somethings brewing....
  21. Baum
    going according to plan.....
  22. Baum
    I see my my feb. 28 blockbuster is in southeast Kentucky now on 6Z GFS. All systems go....
  23. Baum
    so no early spring.....
  24. Baum
    Coldest I've ever been was spring baseball and spring track as a spectator.
  25. Baum
    lot of what I'm reading basically has march endices headed towards what we wanted in January. That said, that has normally not played out this winter. But now that were headed towards spring....................
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