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Baum
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Everything posted by Baum
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a combination of both. Had to wonder over here after the gut punch from today's models....
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If you consider yesterday's 12Z runs put us in the game for 6+ with Lake enhancement, and we looked good until today global's came in at 12Z which worked us back to a 1-2 incher it's been quite the 24 hours of model watching.
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he'll probably hit 3.1 on the button.
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talk about coming apart like a cheap suit.
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I don't do really do "shocked" it's weather and can change on a dime. And If your saying there hasn't been a southeast shift in the global's 12Z runs today I'd politely disagree. I think you'll note there are far more knowledgeable folks hear posting and alluding to just that. Also, I'm not a model blender I tend to pray and cross my fingers that storm maxes IMBY.
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Nice head fake today. Can't say had concerns after the earlier 12Z GFS and NAM runs. Always get a chuckle at how these models can flip so quickly from one run to the next even as we close in on an event. In the past 36 hrs went from a non event to a moderate event with even greater potential to a nuisance snow. Just a bad year if your a snow lover...carry on....
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good point. That sounds a bit better than the moderate intensity event the map shows.
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^ still a couple inches here, but that model looks weak across the board just about everyone. Can't really say I ever lend to much credence to it in the first place.
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joke going to be on you when you get 6" and reach or exceed your seasonal average too date....
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most likely overdone...as they typically are...any year...and I would not say amped. Looks like a solid 3-6" snow event with the wildcard being lake enhancement. This was never a 8-12" type event in this neck of the woods. 12Z GFS holds serve on placement it appears.
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yeah. qpf amounts are a bit modest, but in this winter we can't bellyache about what could be the seasons big event. Note: moderate in many other years.
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and were back....
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Our desperation is showing.
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called managing expectations....at this point 1-2" is a decent event....
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still looks good for MBY....
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your golden. A week of continuous clouds with multiple rounds of rain/snow and some diurnal help will get you to your 3.1 call by Friday afternoon, Big game today....and not in Miami....
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you have May
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probably end up right on the money based on current trends.
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huh?
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^ would be strange to get a week stuck in the 30's with clouds and periodic periods of snizzle....
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always happens eventually...in fact, had a storm / event thread each of the past 2 weeks....
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cluster**** should be in part of our next storm thread title.
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check in with those boys when Louisville is ground zero.......
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Is it a troll if you end up spot on?
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starting to get some decent flakeage. Maybe I can get to 1.9"?
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