Baum

It’s been a good day.

There ya go! I will argue now this is the best Thanksgiving event in my lifetime. The competition was 1975 when it hit the Wednesday before. But it was followed by warmth and gone and was essentially slop .

And folks say you don’t have a heart

Looks like the real thing.

A mid winter look in late November. Rare.

Winter of ‘24-25 soon to be a distant memory

Radar looks like a signature winter storm event event return for these parts

Truth and Lies for Winter Storms: 1. The Dry Slot Is supposed to fill later- lie.

Looks like it could happen based on radar

Nebraska vs Iowa game.

Fair enough. You can have my 8 I’ll take your 13.

The Kluber Met for LOT clearly suffering PWSSD- post traumatic winter storm stress disorder. Whole AFD is basically detailing potential fail modes. Last 5-7 seasons have done damage. Can’t blame him.

Here’s hoping you’re spot on. I’ll be at Wannemakers in DG first thing this AM getting the Christmas garland. Off the roads tomorrow.

^ somewhat expected. - perLOT AFD THE INCREASINGLY FAVORED TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW FROM WEST- CENTRAL ILLINOIS TO FAR SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT INDICATES THAT SNOWFALL QUALITY WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS AS LOW-LEVEL WARMING OCCURS BELOW AN APPROACHING MID-LEVEL DRY SLOT. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT AREAS EAST OF I-57 MIX WITH OR EVEN BRIEFLY CHANGE OVER TO DRIZZLE DURING THE EVENING. THE BACK EDGE OF THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEPART LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING, ENDING THE BROADER SYNOPTIC PRECIP POTENTIAL.

Hold.

I’ve decided to withhold my reply until Saturday evening

Uh-oh

Over performer incoming. Positive, the vestiges of it will be around in the form of frozen black slush all week.

I’d agree. If I could pull 6” on Thanksgiving Weekend would pretty much be a lifetimer for me. Note any other Chicago event you see for Turkey weekend turned to slop post event. That will not be the case this time. Real cold to follow allowing the snow to stick around. Big difference

Aggressive

Pretty much expected: ALTHOUGH, WE ARE NOT COMPLETELY SOLD ON WHAT THE EURO GUIDANCE IS SHOWING, AS IT IS LARGELY AN OUTLIER. THE GFS/GEFS AND THE CANADIAN SUITE OF GUIDANCE ARE NOT AS HIGH WITH TOTALS, BUT STILL BRING IMPACTFUL SNOWFALL. QC

They’ve been torched badly, as have all of us, with dramatic shifts in guidance within less than 48 hours the past 5 years. This time, they’re boxed in by the holiday so guessing will have to jump the gun on headlines overnight if trends hold. And again, given climatology this would be a substantial event for this period in the season.

If the L goes west of you you’ll be dry slotted. Fact of life. And I’ll worry about that after I’ve got my 4” of WAA snow.

Moisture robber not an issue. Checks box.

Today’s wind maybe a blessing ripping the remaining leaves off the trees.