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Baum

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Everything posted by Baum

  1. I’ll take it WHAT...SNOW EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED IN THE VICINITY OF I-88.
  2. https://x.com/nilwxreports/status/1997469765749669946?s=61
  3. Ground zero to start winter this year. It’s been a minute or 11 years.
  4. All Manitoba maulers and Saskatchewan Screamers are pretty much now cast events within 6 hours.
  5. Well, however it plays out well ahead of the game this season.
  6. In retrospect. A good 1-2” event. Looks like mid winter on December 2.
  7. Let’s keep it rolling. Why not. Per Lot: EXPECTATIONS ARE THAT TOP-DOWN SATURATION WILL RESULT IN A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW SPREADING WEST TO EAST OVER THE ENTIRE AREA, REACHING THE I-39 CORRIDOR BY MID-AFTERNOON AND THE CHICAGO METRO AND NORTHWEST INDIANA BY LATE AFTERNOON. MOST GUIDANCE HAS BEEN CONSISTENT IN GENERATING QPF GENERALLY IN THE 0.15-0.20 INCH RANGE, WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS OF AT LEAST 0.25 INCH IN THE BROADER ENSEMBLE ENVELOPE SOUTH OF I-80. MEANWHILE, A 3KM DEEP DGZ INTERSECTING WITH MOST OF THE MID-LEVEL ASCENT WOULD SUPPORT A HIGHER RATIO SNOWFALL ON THE ORDER OF 15:1 TO EVEN 20:1. PUTTING THIS TOGETHER, A WIDESPREAD FLUFFY SNOW EVENT OF 1-3" NORTH OF I-80 AND 2-4" SOUTH OF I-80 APPEARS LIKELY. HAVE SOME CONCERNS THAT THE 600 HPA F-GEN NOTED ABOVE WILL FOCUS A NARROW (COUNTY-WIDE) WSW TO ENE ORIENTED BAND OF HIGHER QPF AND HIGHER SLR (>20:1) SOUTHEAST OF I-55 IN THE EVENING. IN THIS CASE, IT IS FEASIBLE THAT A NARROW 4-6" BAND OF SNOW WILL BE REALIZED. FINALLY, WHILE NOT EXPECTED (10% CHANCE), SYNOPTIC ENHANCEMENT OF A DEVELOPING MESO-LOW OVER SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN TONIGHT COULD BACK CLOSE TO THE ILLINOIS SHORE AS THE LOW-LEVEL SYNOPTIC FLOW TURNS SSE EARLY MONDAY EVENING. WILL THEREFORE NEED TO MONITOR FOR LOCALLY HIGHER SNOWFALL TOTALS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE SHORE FROM DOWNTOWN CHICAGO TO THE IL/WI LINE.
  8. The snow rake maybe in action after a decade of dormancy
  9. There ya go! I will argue now this is the best Thanksgiving event in my lifetime. The competition was 1975 when it hit the Wednesday before. But it was followed by warmth and gone and was essentially slop .
  10. A mid winter look in late November. Rare.
  11. Winter of ‘24-25 soon to be a distant memory
  12. Radar looks like a signature winter storm event event return for these parts
  13. Truth and Lies for Winter Storms: 1. The Dry Slot Is supposed to fill later- lie.
  14. Looks like it could happen based on radar
  15. Fair enough. You can have my 8 I’ll take your 13.
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