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stormy

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Everything posted by stormy

  1. stormy
    If the GFS 24 hr. trend continues the 12z run will have precipitation up into central Virginia. Surface and 850 temps. would be borderline.
  2. stormy
    Thanks Bob for your usual bundle of wisdom.
  3. stormy
    Honestly, I had this feeling 24 hrs. ago. after I looked at the latest Weeklies. I tracked the trajectory of the lowest heights and got an uneasy feeling. I still have high hopes but not as confident as 5 days ago.
  4. stormy
    You say that you ignore me because I don't make contributions. A lot of posters don't really make contributions. Do you believe that making blatantly incorrect posts is making a contribution?? You said the 18z NAM " was " better this run". Considering the significant down grade on WB I find it unlikely that Pivotol was better unless you want less snow!! Anyone can make a mistake, I believe you made one and don't have the courage to admit it. All you can do is attack others. That is very disappointing.
  5. stormy
  6. stormy
    You say the NAM was "better this run" What am I missing?
  7. stormy
    This potential will affect areas along and west of the Blue Ridge, focusing on the central and southern Valley and western highlands. Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy with a 60% likelihood of snow showers after midnight. Lows of 31 - 33 Wednesday: Early snow showers tapering off, remaining mostly cloudy with highs of 35 - 40. Accumulations of a dusting to 1 inch below 2000 ft. elevation. Accumulations of 1 -3 inches, 2500 - 4500 ft. elevation.
  8. stormy
    Good Luck Cape! The 18z GFS says southern suppression but there is a plenty of time!
  9. stormy
    Which one of the 5 in the Atlantic on that map are you speaking of??
  10. stormy
    I'll take p 22
  11. stormy
    The Euro just won't give up on 2-5 !!!!!!! 7 inches at Norfolk .......... On to 00z.
  12. stormy
    This is beyond 6z. The Euro is interested.
  13. stormy
    The 12z GFS and now on board GEM gives Augusta 1.5 - 3.0 inches from this system at 96 - 120 Upstairs temps. look good but likely an elevation event unless we chill a few degrees.
  14. stormy
    That's a miss to the south
  15. stormy
    Things are looking a lot better, but parts of the Valley are still abnormally dry. My water table is still 10.68 ft. below normal according to the USGS.
  16. stormy
    DT's PA Pattern died with the issuance of the 00z GFS.
  17. stormy
    This was my post late yesterday after being surprised by the 18z GFS op for a few minutes. I then realized with these words that the 18z was likely trash that would not stand the test of time. I didn't call it trash at the time for obvious reasons considering the euphoria. 240+ hours is almost always fantasy land for the GFS op. The EPS still looks fine for Feb. 12 - March 12.
  18. stormy
    Are we seeing something here that should not be happening??
  19. stormy
    That's the only way to go!!!!!
  20. stormy
    Mid January to mid March has always been the sweetspot back to 1958. I remember 1958 well because it was the first time anyone could remember Rt. 11 (The Valley Pike) being closed by drifting snow north of Harrisonburg. This was before I-81 had ever been heard of, 11 was the main north/south thoroughfare. Will we revisit 1958 this year ?
  21. stormy
    The update this morning puts the ground water in better shape than in a long, long time though still abnormally dry over Augusta County.
  22. stormy
    Most of my snow has melted except drifts and pushed up mounds. 54 degrees and .02" rain last night.
  23. stormy
    The snowpack in those mountains around you kept you in the refrigerator.
  24. stormy
    Heaven forbid!! On this day in 1967 it was 72 degrees at Staunton! The 06z GFS op. gives Boone N.C. 26 inches of snow during early Feb...... The EPS will save us!
  25. stormy
    Late Sunday and Sunday night could be interesting according to the 18z GFS. Some of the blue has been pushed south and southwest.
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